Newport County vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.93
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
75% (232/310)79% (399/503)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.40
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
77
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1838
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
119
Passes
75% (232/310)79% (399/503)
Long passes
34% (22/65)53% (46/86)
Passes in final third
43% (29/67)65% (121/186)
Crosses
8% (1/12)39% (13/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.76
Throw-ins
3220
Fouls
911
Tackles
53% (8/15)87% (20/23)
Duels won
4376
Clearances
5026
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.400.96
Goals prevented
0.400.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Leonard R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Antwi C. , Jenkins L. ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Leonard R. ,
  • 64', Coburn J. , Nisbet K. ,
  • 64', Sturge Z. , Harding W. ,
  • 64', Bangura-Williams R. , Kelly D. ,
  • 65', Baker-Richardson C. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 74', Luongo M. 🟨,
  • 75', Ogunneye H. , Spellman M. ,
  • 75', Whitmore K. , Brennan C. ,
  • 87', Langstaff M. , Matthews A. ,
  • 90+6', Emakhu A. , Kendall S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
12.3%
Draw
20.3%
Millwall
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.4% 21.8% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 21.2% 66.5%

Newport County - Millwall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.71
(6.97)
4.63
(4.29)
1.4
(1.44)
6.1%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newport County - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Newport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Millwall is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Millwall is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Millwall
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaArsenal
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2