Result
0:1
12/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (232/310) | 79% (399/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (232/310) | 79% (399/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/65) | 53% (46/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 65% (121/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 39% (13/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 87% (20/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Leonard R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Antwi C. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Leonard R. ⚽,
- 64', Coburn J. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 64', Sturge Z. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
- 64', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 65', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
- 74', Luongo M. 🟨,
- 75', Ogunneye H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 75', Whitmore K. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 87', Langstaff M. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 90+6', Emakhu A. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
12.3% | Draw
20.3% | Millwall
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1%)
Newport County - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.71 ↑
(6.97) |
4.63 ↑
(4.29) |
1.4 ↓
(1.44) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newport County - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Newport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Millwall is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Millwall is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Millwall?
Newport County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Newport County?
Millwall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Millwall were as follows:
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Millwall
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
