Result
3:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 47 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (307/385) | 78% (311/401) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (116/167) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 19% (3/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 57% (12/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Kamwa B. ⚽,
- 16', Croasdale R. 🟨,
- 27', Smith N. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Garrity B. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Evans C. ⚽, Greaves O. (A),
- 39', Brennan C. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hackford A. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 46', Lowe J. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
- 55', Hart S. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
- 62', Jameson K. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 2, Stockley J. ⚽, Smith N. (A),
- 71', Whitmore K. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 71', Ajiboye D. ↓, Hudlin K. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Headley J. ⚽,
- 84', Greaves O. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 87', Jameson K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale 61.1% | Draw 22.8% | Newport County 16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Port Vale - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↑ (1.47) |
4.14 ↓ (4.35) |
5.83 ↓ (6.44) |
6.3% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2.
- Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Newport is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Port Vale is certain favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Newport County?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Port Vale?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Newport County were as follows:
07.09.2024
Newport County
-
Port Vale
1:4
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League