Port Vale vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.820.90
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
103
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
96
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
12
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Free Kicks
719
Offsides
03
Fouls
197
Throw-ins
2321
Touches in the Opposition Box
4714
Passes
80% (307/385)78% (311/401)
Passes in the final third
69% (116/167)64% (45/70)
Crosses
38% (14/37)19% (3/16)
Tackles
74% (14/19)57% (12/21)
Clearances Total
1937
Interceptions
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Kamwa B. ,
  • 16', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 27', Smith N. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Garrity B. , Headley J. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Evans C. , Greaves O. (A),
  • 39', Brennan C. , Jameson K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hackford A. , Stockley J. ,
  • 46', Lowe J. , Harper R. ,
  • 55', Hart S. , Sang T. ,
  • 62', Jameson K. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Stockley J. , Smith N. (A),
  • 71', Whitmore K. , Spellman M. ,
  • 71', Ajiboye D. , Hudlin K. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Headley J. ,
  • 84', Greaves O. , Davies T. ,
  • 87', Jameson K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tolaj L. , Curtis R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
61.1%
Draw
22.8%
Newport County
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 21.6% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.6% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Port Vale - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.47)
    4.14
    (4.35)
    5.83
    (6.44)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2.
    • Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Newport is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Port Vale is certain favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Newport County were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Newport County - Port Vale 1:4
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League