Result
19:13
31/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 7)
- 2nd Half (12 - 6)
Chances of winning
Ospreys
64.6% | Draw
4.3% | Newport Gwent Dragons
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.47) |
21.36 ↓
(22.2) |
2.99 ↑
(2.86) |
8.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Dragons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ospreys is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 541:408. (average 27.1:20.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 302:188. (average 33.6:20.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Newport Gwent Dragons?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport Gwent Dragons won against Ospreys?
Newport Gwent Dragons has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons were as follows:
25.10.2025
Newport Gwent Dragons
-
Ospreys
19:19
26.04.2025
Ospreys
-
Newport Gwent Dragons
57:24
21.09.2024
Newport Gwent Dragons
-
Ospreys
23:21
18.05.2024
Ospreys
-
Newport Gwent Dragons
26:13
18.11.2023
Newport Gwent Dragons
-
Ospreys
20:5
Latest results of Ospreys
Latest results of Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
