Caernarfon Town vs Newtown – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Caernarfon Town - Newtown
Result
1:2
12/10/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 12
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
1910
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
124
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Yellow Cards
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Ismail Z. (Pen),
  • 15', 0 - 1, Lock J. ,
  • 38', Ismail Z. 🟨,
  • 44', Mendes P. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Thomas D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 2, Evans R. ,
  • 62', Oswell J. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Lloyd L. (Pen),
  • 64', Faux J. , Owen M. ,
  • 64', Ismail Z. , Hollinshead T. ,
  • 65', Hill M. 🟨,
  • 71', Lock J. , Guest B. ,
  • 72', Williams G. 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 74', Clarke Z. , Evans O. ,
  • 75', Jones M. , Edwards S. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
49.5%
Draw
24.9%
Newtown
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 23.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 24% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Newtown Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.02)
    3.7
    (3.9)
    3.61
    (3.11)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Newtown?
  • Users Predictions: Caernarfon Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 3.
    • Caernarfon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Newtown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Caernarfon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Caernarfon have a series of guest games.
    • Caernarfon will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 29:43 (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caernarfon won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Newtown were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Newtown - Caernarfon Town 0:4
    04.08.2024 Newtown - Caernarfon Town 2:3
    13.04.2024 Newtown - Caernarfon Town 5:0
    01.03.2024 Caernarfon Town - Newtown 1:0
    07.10.2023 Newtown - Caernarfon Town 4:0
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Newtown
    27.09.2024 Newtown - The New Saints 1:6
    24.09.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown 1:1
    20.09.2024 Bala Town - Newtown 2:2
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colwyn Bay00000:000
    2Caernarfon00000:000
    3Connahs Q00000:000
    4Haverfordwest00000:000
    5Llanelli00000:000
    6TNS00000:000
    7Flint00000:000
    8Briton Ferry00000:000
    9Bala00000:000
    10Barry00000:000
    11Cardiff Metropolitan00000:000
    12Penybont00000:000

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