Result
1:2
12/10/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 12
- Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Ismail Z. (Pen),
- 15', 0 - 1, Lock J. ⚽,
- 38', Ismail Z. 🟨,
- 44', Mendes P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Thomas D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, Evans R. ⚽,
- 62', Oswell J. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Lloyd L. (Pen),
- 64', Faux J. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 64', Ismail Z. ↓, Hollinshead T. ↑,
- 65', Hill M. 🟨,
- 71', Lock J. ↓, Guest B. ↑,
- 72', Williams G. 🟨,
- 72', 🟨,
- 74', Clarke Z. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
- 75', Jones M. ↓, Edwards S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
49.5% | Draw
24.9% | Newtown
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Caernarfon Town - Newtown Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.02) |
3.7 ↓
(3.9) |
3.61 ↑
(3.11) |
8.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Newtown?
Users Predictions:
Caernarfon Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Newtown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Caernarfon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Caernarfon have a series of guest games.
- Caernarfon will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 29:43 (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caernarfon won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Newtown?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newtown won against Caernarfon Town?
Newtown has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Newtown were as follows:
23.08.2024
Newtown
-
Caernarfon Town
0:4
04.08.2024
Newtown
-
Caernarfon Town
2:3
13.04.2024
Newtown
-
Caernarfon Town
5:0
01.03.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Newtown
1:0
07.10.2023
Newtown
-
Caernarfon Town
4:0
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Newtown
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caernarfon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | TNS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Barry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Connahs Q | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
