Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
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11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (315/387) | 85% (437/512) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.20 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (315/387) | 85% (437/512) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (12/33) | 43% (24/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (67/101) | 74% (71/96) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.98 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 42 |
Clearances |
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15 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.21 | 1.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Mbow M. 🟨,
- 23', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
- 46', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
- 68', Cho M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 68', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 75', Moffi T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 78', Boudaoui H. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 78', Camara A. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 78', Geubbels W. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Krasso J. (Pen),
- 90+1', Simon M. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 90+2', Traore H. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nice 49.7% | Draw 25.4% | Paris FC 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Nice - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.95) |
3.8 ↑ (3.64) |
3.84 ↑ (3.78) |
3.4% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 26.2% – 69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Paris FC?
Nice has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Nice?
Paris FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Paris FC were as follows:
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2