Result
3:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (532/593) | 85% (334/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (532/593) | 85% (334/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 49% (26/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (65/89) | 68% (71/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 70% (19/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Godo M. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Enciso J. ⚽, El Mourabet S. (A),
- 42', 3 - 0, El Mourabet S. ⚽,
- 43', Sanson M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bah J. ↓, Dante ↑,
- 46', Diop S. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
- 46', Jansson I. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
- 58', Chilwell B. ↓, Hogsberg L. ↑,
- 58', El Mourabet S. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
- 64', Sanson M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 77', Godo M. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 77', Omobamidele A. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
- 80', Wahi E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Dante (A),
- 90+1', Enciso J. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
49.1% | Draw
25.6% | Nice
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3%)
Strasbourg - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.83) |
3.72 ↑
(3.69) |
3.76 ↓
(4.22) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Nice?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nice (3.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Strasbourg (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Strasbourg (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 60%). Nice (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.
- Strasbourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Strasbourg is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Moreira D.
(Groin Injury)
Ouattara A.
(Back Injury)
Panichelli J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Red Card)
Peprah K.
(Injury)
Pereira E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Nice?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Strasbourg?
Nice has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Nice were as follows:
03.01.2026
Nice
-
Strasbourg
1:1
12.04.2025
Strasbourg
-
Nice
2:2
24.11.2024
Nice
-
Strasbourg
2:1
28.04.2024
Strasbourg
-
Nice
1:3
03.09.2023
Nice
-
Strasbourg
2:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
