Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
61.9%
Jurij Rodionov
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Jurij Rodionov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.48)

    2.47
    (2.46)
    6.4%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Jurij Rodionov?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 156. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 176.
    • Jarry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rodionov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Jarry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jarry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jarry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry