Valenciennes vs Niort – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Valenciennes - Niort
Result
0:0
15/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Valenciennes
47.1%
Draw
29.2%
Niort
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 30.4% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 29.2% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valenciennes's performance.
  • Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niort might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valenciennes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niort could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valenciennes - Niort Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.34)
    3.24
    (3.07)
    3.96
    (3.14)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Valenciennes - Niort?
  • Users Predictions: Valenciennes will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Valenciennes has the most likely position - 15 (16.5%), project points - 42, currently - 33, a chance of relegated (31%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Niort has the most likely position - 20 (71.29%), project points - 33, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (97%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 23, importance 39, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Valenciennes will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valenciennes - Niort were as follows:
    30.08.2022 Niort - Valenciennes 0:1
    Latest results of Valenciennes
    10.04.2023 Annecy - Valenciennes 2:1
    01.04.2023 Valenciennes - Paris FC 4:5
    18.03.2023 Caen - Valenciennes 2:1
    11.03.2023 Valenciennes - Bastia 2:2
    04.03.2023 Quevilly - Valenciennes 1:1
    Latest results of Niort
    08.04.2023 Niort - Sochaux 0:3
    01.04.2023 Saint-Étienne - Niort 2:0
    18.03.2023 Niort - Laval 3:2
    11.03.2023 Pau - Niort 1:0
    04.03.2023 Niort - Rodez 2:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National