Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (222/313) | 68% (178/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (222/313) | 68% (178/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (64/118) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Lesovoy D. ⚽,
- 33', Boldyrev M. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Boselli J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Djurasovic A. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
- 46', Loncar S. ↓, Djakovac I. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Dzyuba A. ⚽, Bistrovic K. (A),
- 58', Lesovoy D. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
- 65', Ermakov N. ↓, Olusegun O. ↑,
- 75', Rocha Y. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
- 80', Boselli J. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
- 84', Boldyrev M. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 90+4', Ivlev A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Medvedev N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
49.9% | Draw
26.1% | Pari NN
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Akron Tolyatti - Pari NN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.87) |
3.62 ↑
(3.55) |
3.93 ↑
(3.85) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Pari NN?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 50%). Pari NN (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.
- Akron is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pari NN has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Akron is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Pari NN?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Akron Tolyatti?
Pari NN has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Pari NN were as follows:
18.10.2025
Pari NN
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:1
01.03.2025
Pari NN
-
Akron Tolyatti
2:1
05.10.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Pari NN
2:2
25.01.2023
Pari NN
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:1
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Pari NN
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 48:16 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Zenit | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 49:32 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 32:11 | 21 | 43 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18:25 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 28:40 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14:29 | -15 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:42 | -19 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | Sochi | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 20:53 | -33 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
