Nõmme Kalju vs Levadia Tallinn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Meistriliiga Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Peetson R. , Lepistu B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Nikolajev A. , Ivanov N. ,
  • 46', Patrikejevs I. , Lotar Eyang E. E. ,
  • 58', Tambedou B. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Kask K. , Ivanov N. (A),
  • 61', Wendell 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro , Wendell (A),
  • 64', Jabir I. , Mannilaan M. ,
  • 64', Tambedou B. , Roosnupp M. ,
  • 70', Kask K. , Baptista T. ,
  • 75', Tammik T. 🟨,
  • 76', Lepistu B. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Ivanov N. (Pen),
  • 79', Torres C. , Liivak F. ,
  • 79', Tur E. , Kirss R. ,
  • 86', Tarassenkov D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Schjonning-Larsen M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tarassenkov D. , Korre U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nõmme Kalju
22.3%
Draw
26.9%
Levadia Tallinn
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 21.9% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 21.5% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levadia Tallinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia Tallinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.21
    (4.41)
    3.49
    (4.2)
    1.84
    (1.61)
    6.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Levadia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:40. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 3:1
    24.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 4:3
    04.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 2:0
    30.03.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 2:1
    22.02.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 3:2
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flora29213565:263966
    2Levadia29203670:304063
    3Paide29174847:262155
    4Kalju29174856:332355
    5Narva291451047:361147
    6Parnu JK Vaprus291361050:381245
    7Harju JK Laagri29841737:58-2128
    8Kuressaare30732029:58-2924
    9Tammeka30722137:69-3223
    10Tallinna Kalev29422325:89-6414

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