Nõmme Kalju vs Levadia Tallinn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Nõmme Kalju
34.1%
Draw
27.8%
Levadia Tallinn
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 27.4% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 28% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia Tallinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.09)
    3.29
    (3.35)
    2.4
    (2.14)
    9.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Played on the field of the visiting team.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3.
    • Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Levadia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Levadia has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 2:1
    21.06.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 3:1
    24.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 4:3
    04.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 2:0
    30.03.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 2:1
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kalju550010:1915
    2Levadia532010:5511
    3Paide53119:6310
    4Harju JK Laagri53027:619
    5Narva52037:616
    6Tammeka52038:10-26
    7Flora52036:7-16
    8Nomme Utd511311:1104
    9Kuressaare51044:11-73
    10Parnu JK Vaprus51046:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga