Result
2:2
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 3
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Saliste J. (A),
- 21', Roosnupp M. 🟨,
- 40', Liivak F. ↓, Lehtmets G. ↑,
- 44', Peetson R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Anier H. ⚽, Luts S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Luts D. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
- 64', 🟨,
- 64', Luts S. ↓, Jobarteh M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Ainsalu M. ⚽,
- 77', Lehtmets G. ↓, Sambe M. ↑,
- 79', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
- 80', Sambe M. 🟨,
- 83', Saliste J. 🟨,
- 83', Otoo E. ↓, Svedovski A. ↑,
- 89', Sohna M. P. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
- 89', Victor Hugo ↓, Nigula R. ↑,
- 90+3', Ainsalu M. 🟨,
- 90+17', 2 - 2, Daniel Cabral (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Levadia Tallinn
47.8% | Draw
26.6% | Paide LM
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.78) |
3.4 ↓
(3.68) |
3.55 ↓
(3.76) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Levadia Tallinn will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 2.
- Levadia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Paide has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Levadia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Levadia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Levadia Tallinn won against Paide LM?
Levadia Tallinn has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Levadia Tallinn?
Paide LM has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM were as follows:
22.10.2025
Levadia Tallinn
-
Paide LM
1:2
04.07.2025
Paide LM
-
Levadia Tallinn
0:3
11.05.2025
Levadia Tallinn
-
Paide LM
2:1
23.04.2025
Paide LM
-
Levadia Tallinn
2:1
09.11.2024
Paide LM
-
Levadia Tallinn
3:0
Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Flora | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
