Nõmme Kalju vs Levadia Tallinn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 6
  • Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaETV 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
39
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
616
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
37
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kirss R. , Wendell ,
  • 46', Ivanov N. , Orlov M. ,
  • 46', Vastsuk B. , Sotsugov D. ,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Tambedou B. ,
  • 60', Kask K. , Baptista T. ,
  • 62', Nwankwo A. , Tammik T. ,
  • 66', Peetson R. 🟨,
  • 69', Liivak F. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Mannilaan M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', Skvortsov M. , Otoo E. ,
  • 82', Orlov M. 🟨,
  • 87', Mannilaan M. , Jabir I. ,
  • 89', Borolinstsikov A. , Tarassenkov D. ,
  • 89', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90', Otoo E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nõmme Kalju
32.5%
Draw
26.9%
Levadia Tallinn
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 27.4% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 28% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.09)
    3.44
    (3.35)
    2.27
    (2.14)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Played on the field of the visiting team.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3.
    • Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Levadia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Levadia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 2:1
    21.06.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 3:1
    24.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 4:3
    04.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn 2:0
    30.03.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju 2:1
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia963024:71721
    2Kalju961219:61319
    3Flora1060421:12918
    4Paide952217:11617
    5Harju JK Laagri1051414:17-316
    6Nomme Utd931520:22-210
    7Parnu JK Vaprus93159:18-910
    8Kuressaare930610:17-79
    9Tammeka921610:17-77
    10Narva92079:26-176

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga