North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.191.29
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (316/405)73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.191.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.36
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
78% (316/405)73% (212/291)
Long passes
43% (15/35)31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)65% (44/68)
Crosses
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.98
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1319
Tackles
50% (4/8)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
1231
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.360.01
Goals prevented
-0.640.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Dennis C. ,
  • 38', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Roberts T. , Anderson O. ,
  • 55', Donovan C. 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Smith C. , Johnson D. (A),
  • 64', Craig P. , Burner P. ,
  • 70', Johnson D. , Sacko I. ,
  • 85', Sommersall R. , Quintanilla J. ,
  • 85', Flores D. , Okello N. ,
  • 86', Avayevu H. , Emmers X. ,
  • 90+3', Al Qaq A. , Hodge T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
43%
Draw
26.3%
Phoenix Rising
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • North Carolina - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.02)
    3.53
    (3.51)
    3.04
    (3.41)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - North Carolina 0:0
    08.05.2024 North Carolina - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)