North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC).

USL Championship
Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	1.29
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
78% (316/405)	73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	1.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	1.36
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
19	13
Passes
78% (316/405)	73% (212/291)
Long passes
43% (15/35)	31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)	65% (44/68)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	0.98
Throw-ins
26	19
Fouls
13	19
Tackles
50% (4/8)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
46	43
Clearances
12	31
Interceptions
6	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.36	0.01
Goals prevented
-0.64	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Flores D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Dennis C. ⚽,
38', Johnson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Roberts T. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
55', Donovan C. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Smith C. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
64', Craig P. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
70', Johnson D. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
85', Sommersall R. ↓, Quintanilla J. ↑,
85', Flores D. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
86', Avayevu H. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
90+3', Al Qaq A. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

North Carolina
43%

Draw
26.3%

Phoenix Rising
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

North Carolina - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	3.04 ↓ (3.41)	7.6% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Phoenix Rising?

North Carolina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against North Carolina?

Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

24.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - North Carolina 0:0

08.05.2024 North Carolina - Phoenix Rising 1:2

Latest results of North Carolina

04.10.2025 Detroit City - North Carolina 2:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Birmingham Legion - North Carolina 1:1 ✺

26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

04.10.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots 3:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United 2:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:2 ✺

05.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)