Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (316/405) | 73% (212/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (316/405) | 73% (212/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (51/92) | 65% (44/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Flores D. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Dennis C. ⚽,
- 38', Johnson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Roberts T. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
- 55', Donovan C. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Smith C. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
- 64', Craig P. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
- 70', Johnson D. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 85', Sommersall R. ↓, Quintanilla J. ↑,
- 85', Flores D. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
- 86', Avayevu H. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Qaq A. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
43% | Draw
26.3% | Phoenix Rising
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
North Carolina - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.02) |
3.53 ↑
(3.51) |
3.04 ↓
(3.41) |
7.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
- North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Phoenix Rising?
North Carolina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against North Carolina?
Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
24.08.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
North Carolina
0:0
08.05.2024
North Carolina
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 55:19 | 36 | 69 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 46:32 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 5 | North Carolina ✔ | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:39 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:27 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Detroit | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:49 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 44 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | El Paso | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Lexington | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 35 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:48 | -26 | 26 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
