Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: May C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (388/439) | 76% (204/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (388/439) | 76% (204/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (28/46) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (108/133) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Conway E. ⚽,
- 29', Roberts T. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
- 40', Sommersall R. 🟨,
- 44', Arteaga M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 62', Marie P. 🟨,
- 77', Servania J. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
- 77', Perez L. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽,
- 85', Pedro Becker ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
- 86', Arteaga M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 86', Marie P. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 87', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 90', Mendez A. ↓, Vancaeyezeele T. ↑,
- 90+4', Pacius W. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Sommersall R. (A),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
43.5% | Draw
26.6% | North Carolina
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.39) |
3.48 ↑
(3.38) |
3.1 ↑
(2.68) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against North Carolina?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
North Carolina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina were as follows:
09.08.2025
North Carolina
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:1
19.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
North Carolina
0:2
23.03.2024
North Carolina
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
