Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.90
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
88% (388/439)76% (204/267)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.87
Total shots
208
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
913
Passes
88% (388/439)76% (204/267)
Long passes
61% (28/46)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
81% (108/133)65% (53/82)
Crosses
40% (12/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.26
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
139
Tackles
50% (4/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
13
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.871.19
Goals prevented
-1.13-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Conway E. ,
  • 29', Roberts T. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. , Marie P. (A),
  • 40', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 44', Arteaga M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Mendez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 77', Servania J. , Forbes J. ,
  • 77', Perez L. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ,
  • 85', Pedro Becker , Anderson O. ,
  • 86', Arteaga M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Skinner J. ,
  • 87', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 90', Mendez A. , Vancaeyezeele T. ,
  • 90+4', Pacius W. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson O. , Sommersall R. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
43.5%
Draw
26.6%
North Carolina
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.2% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 26.1% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.39)
    3.48
    (3.38)
    3.1
    (2.68)
    8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina were as follows:
    09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    19.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 0:2
    23.03.2024 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)