Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/308) | 85% (441/516) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/308) | 85% (441/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 68% (75/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Servania J. ↑,
- 20', Maldonado M. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Hilton L. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
- 31', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Conway E. ⚽,
- 45', Pacius W. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 1, Perez L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 57', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
- 57', Alvarez L. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 60', Servania J. 🟨,
- 60', Hilton L. 🟨,
- 71', Moon N. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 87', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 90', Conway E. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
48.9% | Draw
25.2% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.23) |
3.68 ↑
(3.42) |
3.59 ↑
(3.08) |
7.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against North Carolina?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
19.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
North Carolina
0:2
23.03.2024
North Carolina
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
