Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.90
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
88% (388/439)76% (204/267)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.87
Total shots
208
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
913
Passes
88% (388/439)76% (204/267)
Long passes
61% (28/46)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
81% (108/133)65% (53/82)
Crosses
40% (12/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.26
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
139
Tackles
50% (4/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
13
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.871.19
Goals prevented
-1.13-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Conway E. ,
  • 29', Roberts T. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. , Marie P. (A),
  • 40', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 44', Arteaga M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Mendez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 77', Servania J. , Forbes J. ,
  • 77', Perez L. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ,
  • 85', Pedro Becker , Anderson O. ,
  • 86', Arteaga M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Skinner J. ,
  • 87', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 90', Mendez A. , Vancaeyezeele T. ,
  • 90+4', Pacius W. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson O. , Sommersall R. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
43.5%
Draw
26.6%
North Carolina
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.2% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 26.1% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.39)
    3.48
    (3.38)
    3.1
    (2.68)
    8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina were as follows:
    09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    19.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 0:2
    23.03.2024 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )