Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: May C. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.90
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
88% (388/439)	76% (204/267)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.87
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
13	5
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
32	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
88% (388/439)	76% (204/267)
Long passes
61% (28/46)	56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
81% (108/133)	65% (53/82)
Crosses
40% (12/30)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.26
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
50% (4/8)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
40	47
Clearances
24	26
Interceptions
1	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.87	1.19
Goals prevented
-1.13	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Conway E. ⚽,
29', Roberts T. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
40', Sommersall R. 🟨,
44', Arteaga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Mendez A. 🟨,
62', Marie P. 🟨,
77', Servania J. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
77', Perez L. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽,
85', Pedro Becker ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
86', Arteaga M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
86', Marie P. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
87', Alvarez L. 🟨,
90', Mendez A. ↓, Vancaeyezeele T. ↑,
90+4', Pacius W. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Sommersall R. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
43.5%

Draw
26.6%

North Carolina
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.39)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	3.1 ↑ (2.68)	8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against North Carolina?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

North Carolina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina were as follows:

09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1

19.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 0:2

23.03.2024 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0 ✺

Latest results of North Carolina

12.09.2025 North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 North Carolina - Hartford Athletic 2:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 North Carolina - Detroit City 1:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )