Result
0:2
06/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (466/533) | 85% (360/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (466/533) | 85% (360/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (111/148) | 78% (68/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
- 40', Ross N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 46', Hilton L. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
- 56', Sharp C. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 56', Azocar J. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 67', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 76', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 81', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 84', Bodily B. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 90', Djedje R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
- 90+3', Wyke L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
33.2% | Draw
29.1% | Sacramento Republic
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.44) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
2.46 ↓
(2.69) |
7.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Sacramento Republic (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Sacramento Republic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
01.06.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:1
03.06.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
