Barnsley vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.61	2.15
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Passes
82% (352/427)	66% (154/235)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.61	2.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	1.77
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked shots
7	7
Shots inside the box
18	11
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
45	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free kicks
6	15
Passes
82% (352/427)	66% (154/235)
Long passes
47% (24/51)	32% (23/72)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)	53% (47/89)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	1.04
Throw ins
30	19
Fouls
15	6
Tackles
63% (15/24)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
67	58
Clearances
32	37
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.77	1.56
Goals prevented
-0.23	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Guinness-Walker N. ⚽,
4', Shepherd J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', McGeehan C. 🟨,
59', McGeehan C. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
59', Willis J. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
60', Hoskins S. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
61', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Phillips A. ⚽,
69', Forbes M. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
69', Vale J. ↓, List E. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Dyche M. ⚽, Swyer K. (A),
77', Watson T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
90+5', Kelly P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
54%

Draw
24.7%

Northampton Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Barnsley - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)	4.39 ↑ (3.85)	6.8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Northampton Town?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barnsley (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 10 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
There will not play in Barnsley: Connell L. (Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Phillips A. (Inactive) de Gevigney M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Northampton: Dyche M. (Inactive) Guinness-Walker N. (Injury) Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Vale J. (Injury) Wormleighton J. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Northampton Town?

Barnsley has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Barnsley?

Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Northampton Town were as follows:

25.02.2025 Northampton Town - Barnsley 1:2

24.08.2024 Barnsley - Northampton Town 2:2

27.04.2024 Barnsley - Northampton Town 1:1

23.09.2023 Northampton Town - Barnsley 1:2

Latest results of Barnsley

31.01.2026 Barnsley - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Barnsley - Blackpool 2:1 ✺

12.01.2026 Liverpool - Barnsley 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Rotherham United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Blackpool - Northampton Town 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers 1:2 ✺

14.01.2026 Northampton Town - Walsall 4:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship