Barnsley vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.61	2.15
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Passes
82% (352/427)	66% (154/235)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.61	2.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	1.77
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked shots
7	7
Shots inside the box
18	11
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
45	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free kicks
6	15
Passes
82% (352/427)	66% (154/235)
Long passes
47% (24/51)	32% (23/72)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)	53% (47/89)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	1.04
Throw ins
30	19
Fouls
15	6
Tackles
63% (15/24)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
67	58
Clearances
32	37
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.77	1.56
Goals prevented
-0.23	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Guinness-Walker N. ⚽,
4', Shepherd J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', McGeehan C. 🟨,
59', McGeehan C. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
59', Willis J. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
60', Hoskins S. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
61', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Phillips A. ⚽,
69', Forbes M. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
69', Vale J. ↓, List E. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Dyche M. ⚽, Swyer K. (A),
77', Watson T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
90+5', Kelly P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
54%

Draw
24.7%

Northampton Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Barnsley - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)	4.39 ↑ (3.85)	6.8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Northampton Town?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barnsley (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 10 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
There will not play in Barnsley: Connell L. (Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Phillips A. (Inactive) de Gevigney M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Northampton: Dyche M. (Inactive) Guinness-Walker N. (Injury) Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Vale J. (Injury) Wormleighton J. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Northampton Town?

Barnsley has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Barnsley?

Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Northampton Town were as follows:

25.02.2025 Northampton Town - Barnsley 1:2

24.08.2024 Barnsley - Northampton Town 2:2

27.04.2024 Barnsley - Northampton Town 1:1

23.09.2023 Northampton Town - Barnsley 1:2

Latest results of Barnsley

31.01.2026 Barnsley - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Barnsley - Blackpool 2:1 ✺

12.01.2026 Liverpool - Barnsley 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Rotherham United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Blackpool - Northampton Town 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers 1:2 ✺

14.01.2026 Northampton Town - Walsall 4:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two