Cambridge United vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Abbey Stadium (Cambridge).

League One - Round 39
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	0.79
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
57% (164/290)	52% (129/247)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.05	0.46
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
1	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
7	18
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
18	12
Passes
57% (164/290)	52% (129/247)
Long passes
27% (25/91)	30% (26/88)
Passes in final third
43% (40/94)	42% (51/122)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.21	0.38
Fouls
12	18
Tackles
38% (3/8)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
55	62
Clearances Total
33	47
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.46	0.05
Goals prevented
-0.54	-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Malone S. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
46', Ballard D. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Brophy J. ⚽,
72', Stevenson B. 🟨,
74', Stokes J. 🟨,
80', Eaves T. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
80', Pinnock M. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
86', McGowan A. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
90+3', Perry B. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
90+3', Stokes J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cambridge United
35.5%

Draw
29.3%

Northampton Town
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Cambridge United - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)	3.19 (3.19)	2.68 ↓ (3.01)	6.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Northampton Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Lavery S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Andrew D. (Inactive) Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: Baldwin J. (Eye injury) Eaves T. (Knee Injury) Odimayo A. (Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:20 (average 1.3:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Northampton Town?

Cambridge United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Cambridge United?

Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Northampton Town were as follows:

23.11.2024 Northampton Town - Cambridge United 0:0

09.03.2024 Cambridge United - Northampton Town 1:1

25.11.2023 Northampton Town - Cambridge United 2:1

20.09.2022 Northampton Town - Cambridge United 0:2

Latest results of Cambridge United

22.03.2025 Barnsley - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Cambridge United - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Blackpool - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Cambridge United 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Cambridge United - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

22.03.2025 Northampton Town - Blackpool 0:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Northampton Town - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Northampton Town - Stockport County 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Exeter City - Northampton Town 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two