Northampton Town vs Chelsea U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Northampton Town - Chelsea U21
Result
2:3 penalties
26/09/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
43.6%
Draw
24.3%
Chelsea U21
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 23.4% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 22.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
  • Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.85)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    2.89
    (3.35)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Chelsea U21?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chelsea U21 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea U21: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Northampton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chelsea U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chelsea U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Northampton is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Chelsea U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2