Result
4:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/417) | 73% (251/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/417) | 73% (251/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 27% (18/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (89/138) | 47% (31/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, One R. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
- 30', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽,
- 55', Willis J. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
- 55', Draper F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 56', Vale J. 🟥,
- 67', Moore E. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 67', Hoskins S. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 67', Burroughs J. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 71', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
- 71', House B. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Varfolomeev I. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
- 75', 4 - 0, Street R. ⚽,
- 77', McGrandles C. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 77', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 79', Perkins J. 🟨,
- 87', Swyer K. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
68.6% | Draw
19.8% | Northampton Town
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Lincoln City - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.5) |
4.75 ↑
(4) |
7.97 ↑
(5.76) |
6.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Northampton (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lincoln (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
- Lincoln is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Northampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Northampton Town?
Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Lincoln City?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Northampton Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Northampton Town
-
Lincoln City
0:1
18.01.2025
Northampton Town
-
Lincoln City
0:1
29.10.2024
Lincoln City
-
Northampton Town
2:1
29.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Northampton Town
1:2
15.08.2023
Northampton Town
-
Lincoln City
2:2
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
