Northampton Town vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Northampton Town - Lincoln City
Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.17
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
93
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
75% (287/381)60% (148/247)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.39
Total shots
93
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
138
Passes
75% (287/381)60% (148/247)
Long passes
45% (37/83)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
59% (66/112)48% (46/95)
Crosses
18% (4/22)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.58
Throw-ins
3129
Fouls
913
Tackles
85% (11/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
6044
Clearances
2554
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.390.72
Goals prevented
-0.610.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Draper F. , Darikwa T. (A),
  • 42', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Wheatley E. 🟨,
  • 58', McGrandles C. 🟨,
  • 64', Draper F. , House B. ,
  • 64', Bayliss T. , Hamilton E. ,
  • 67', Fornah T. 🟨,
  • 76', Wheatley E. , List E. ,
  • 76', Burroughs J. , Hoskins S. ,
  • 76', Guinness-Walker N. , Perkins J. ,
  • 79', Wickens G. 🟨,
  • 83', Collins J. , Okoronkwo F. ,
  • 84', Taylor T. , Eaves T. ,
  • 86', Hamilton E. 🟨,
  • 87', Perkins J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
25.2%
Draw
29.2%
Lincoln City
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 25.4% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Northampton Town - Lincoln City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (2.85)
    3.37
    (3.41)
    2.11
    (2.06)
    1.8%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Lincoln City?
  • Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.69%94.31%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.
    • Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Thorniley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Injury) Montsma L. (Inactive) Moylan J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T. (Thigh Injury) Jacobs M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Lincoln City were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Northampton Town - Lincoln City 0:1
    29.10.2024 Lincoln City - Northampton Town 2:1
    29.12.2023 Lincoln City - Northampton Town 1:2
    15.08.2023 Northampton Town - Lincoln City 2:2
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two