Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (287/381) | 60% (148/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (287/381) | 60% (148/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (37/83) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (66/112) | 48% (46/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
- 42', Towler R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Wheatley E. 🟨,
- 58', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 64', Draper F. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 64', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
- 67', Fornah T. 🟨,
- 76', Wheatley E. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 76', Burroughs J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 76', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 79', Wickens G. 🟨,
- 83', Collins J. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 84', Taylor T. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 86', Hamilton E. 🟨,
- 87', Perkins J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
25.2% | Draw
29.2% | Lincoln City
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Northampton Town - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(2.85) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
2.11 ↑
(2.06) |
1.8%
(13%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.
- Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Montsma L.
(Inactive)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
Jacobs M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Lincoln City?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Northampton Town?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Lincoln City were as follows:
18.01.2025
Northampton Town
-
Lincoln City
0:1
29.10.2024
Lincoln City
-
Northampton Town
2:1
29.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Northampton Town
1:2
15.08.2023
Northampton Town
-
Lincoln City
2:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Reading | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
