Northampton Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.600.64
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
64
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
52
Passes
66% (192/290)79% (327/416)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.600.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.99
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
91
Free kicks
1111
Passes
66% (192/290)79% (327/416)
Long passes
29% (21/73)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
54% (72/134)53% (49/93)
Crosses
27% (6/22)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.91
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
1111
Tackles
41% (7/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
2046
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.990.59
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Eaves T. , Fornah T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Morgan J. , Lisbie K. (A),
  • 60', Frith D. 🟨,
  • 64', Morgan J. 🟨,
  • 69', Frith D. , Hayes C. ,
  • 71', Eaves T. , List E. ,
  • 84', Hoskins S. , Swyer K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
36.2%
Draw
25.5%
Peterborough United
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 27.4% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 26.9% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Northampton Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.88)
    3.66
    (3.41)
    2.45
    (2.32)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Peterborough (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
    • Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wormleighton J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Garbett M. (Inactive) Lees T. (Inactive) Mendy J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mills H. (Inactive) Woods B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 2:1
    05.04.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 0:4
    17.12.2024 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 3:0
    09.12.2024 Northampton Town - Peterborough United 2:1
    05.03.2024 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 5:1
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
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    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
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    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
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    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

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