Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2 |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 10 |
Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 6 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 2 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 5 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.74 | 1.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
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11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 8 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Passes |
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77% (268/349) | 90% (564/627) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
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11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 12 |
Passes |
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77% (268/349) | 90% (564/627) |
Long passes |
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33% (16/48) | 53% (19/36) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (65/108) | 83% (151/183) |
Crosses |
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32% (8/25) | 16% (5/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.75 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 20 |
Fouls |
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12 | 11 |
Tackles |
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82% (9/11) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
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45 | 36 |
Clearances |
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32 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.49 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
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0.49 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Williams N. ⚽,
- 16', Florentino 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Bakwa D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
- 76', Wood Ch. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
- 76', Douglas Luiz ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
- 76', Ndoye D. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 81', Tchaouna L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
- 86', Foster L. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
- 90+2', Morato 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley 26.7% | Draw 29.2% | Nottingham Forest 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Burnley - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.62 ↑ (3.42) |
3.29 ↓ (3.52) |
2.18 ↑ (2.13) |
4% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burnley - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 42.5% – 77.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
- In recent matches, Burnley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nottingham could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
Ugochukwu L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dominguez N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Bruun Larsen J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Nottingham Forest?
Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Burnley?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
19.05.2024
Burnley
-
Nottingham Forest
1:2
18.09.2023
Nottingham Forest
-
Burnley
1:1
30.08.2023
Nottingham Forest
-
Burnley
0:1
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 16 |
2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Manchester City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Nottingham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship