Burnley vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Turf Moor (Burnley).

Premier League - Round 5
Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport 6
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	1.10
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
77% (268/349)	90% (564/627)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	1.49
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
23	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
77% (268/349)	90% (564/627)
Long passes
33% (16/48)	53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
60% (65/108)	83% (151/183)
Crosses
32% (8/25)	16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.79
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
82% (9/11)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
45	36
Clearances
32	29
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
xGOT faced
1.49	0.98
Goals prevented
0.49	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Williams N. ⚽,
16', Florentino 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Bakwa D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
76', Wood Ch. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
76', Douglas Luiz ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
76', Ndoye D. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
81', Tchaouna L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
86', Foster L. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
90+2', Morato 🟨,

Chances of winning

Burnley
26.7%

Draw
29.2%

Nottingham Forest
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Burnley - Nottingham Forest Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.42)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)	4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burnley - Nottingham Forest?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Burnley (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Burnley (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 25%). Nottingham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
In recent matches, Burnley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Nottingham could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Red Card)
There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Bruun Larsen J. (Knock)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Nottingham Forest?

Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Burnley?

Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Nottingham Forest were as follows:

19.05.2024 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:2

18.09.2023 Nottingham Forest - Burnley 1:1

30.08.2023 Nottingham Forest - Burnley 0:1

Latest results of Burnley

14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Manchester United - Burnley 3:2 ✺

26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

17.09.2025 Swansea City - Nottingham Forest 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - West Ham United 0:3 ✺

24.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 3:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	61:22	39	70
2	Manchester City	30	18	7	5	60:28	32	61
3	Manchester Utd	31	15	10	6	56:43	13	55
4	Aston Villa	31	16	6	9	42:37	5	54
5	Liverpool	31	14	7	10	50:42	8	49
6	Chelsea	31	13	9	9	53:38	15	48
7	Brentford	31	13	7	11	46:42	4	46
8	Everton	31	13	7	11	37:35	2	46
9	Fulham	31	13	5	13	43:44	-1	44
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	41:37	4	43
11	Sunderland	31	11	10	10	32:36	-4	43
12	Newcastle	31	12	6	13	44:45	-1	42
13	Bournemouth	31	9	15	7	46:48	-2	42
14	Crystal Palace	30	10	9	11	33:35	-2	39
15	Leeds	31	7	12	12	37:48	-11	33
16	Nottingham	31	8	8	15	31:43	-12	32
17	Tottenham	31	7	9	15	40:50	-10	30
18	West Ham	31	7	8	16	36:57	-21	29
19	Burnley	31	4	8	19	33:61	-28	20
20	Wolves	31	3	8	20	24:54	-30	17

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