Burnley vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Burnley - Nottingham Forest
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 6
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 3, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
77% (268/349)90% (564/627)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.49
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
77% (268/349)90% (564/627)
Long passes
33% (16/48)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
60% (65/108)83% (151/183)
Crosses
32% (8/25)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.79
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1211
Tackles
82% (9/11)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
3229
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
1.490.98
Goals prevented
0.49-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Williams N. ,
  • 16', Florentino 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Anthony J. , Foster L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Bakwa D. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 76', Wood Ch. , Igor Jesus ,
  • 76', Douglas Luiz , Kalimuendo A. ,
  • 76', Ndoye D. , Sangare I. ,
  • 81', Tchaouna L. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 86', Foster L. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 90+2', Morato 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
26.7%
Draw
29.2%
Nottingham Forest
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 27.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.7% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Burnley - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (3.42)
    3.29
    (3.52)
    2.18
    (2.13)
    4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burnley - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 42.5%77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
    • In recent matches, Burnley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nottingham could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Bruun Larsen J. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:2
    18.09.2023 Nottingham Forest - Burnley 1:1
    30.08.2023 Nottingham Forest - Burnley 0:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Relegation ~ Championship