Result
2:3
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 5 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (406/468) | 78% (226/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (406/468) | 78% (226/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (24/41) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (123/156) | 62% (43/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.92 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', Morato 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Diao O. ⚽, Bech Sorensen M. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽, Erlic M. (A),
- 28', Murillo ↓, Savona N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Mbabu K. 🟨,
- 58', Simsir A. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 66', Mbabu K. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 66', Castillo D. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
- 66', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 73', Igor Jesus 🟨,
- 75', Igor Jesus ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
- 76', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
- 88', Junior Brumado ↓, Franculino ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Byskov V. ⚽, Osorio D. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
- 90+4', Diao O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nottingham Forest
70.9% | Draw
17.2% | Midtjylland
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.42) |
5.52 ↑
(4.9) |
8.13 ↑
(7.1) |
4%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 56.4% – 86.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Midtjylland (2.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Midtjylland (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Midtjylland (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Midtjylland (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nottingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Midtjylland is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nottingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Awoniyi T.
(Inactive)
Cunha
(Inactive)
Douglas Luiz
(Hamstring Injury)
Gunn A.
(Inactive)
Hutchinson O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva
(Injury)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
Gogorza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Midtjylland?
Nottingham Forest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Nottingham Forest?
Midtjylland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland were as follows:
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Latest results of Midtjylland
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
