Nottingham Forest vs Midtjylland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland
Result
2:3
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.922.10
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
108
Passes
87% (406/468)78% (226/288)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.922.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.432.92
Total shots
228
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
87% (406/468)78% (226/288)
Long passes
59% (24/41)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
79% (123/156)62% (43/69)
Crosses
25% (8/32)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.43
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (16/20)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
1835
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
2.922.43
Goals prevented
-0.080.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', Morato 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Diao O. ⚽, Bech Sorensen M. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽, Erlic M. (A),
  • 28', Murillo ↓, Savona N. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Mbabu K. 🟨,
  • 58', Simsir A. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
  • 66', Mbabu K. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
  • 66', Castillo D. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
  • 66', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
  • 73', Igor Jesus 🟨,
  • 75', Igor Jesus ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
  • 76', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 88', Junior Brumado ↓, Franculino ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Byskov V. ⚽, Osorio D. (A),
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Diao O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
70.9%		Draw
17.2%		Midtjylland
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 19.5% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 19.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.36 ↓
    (1.42)    		 5.52 ↑
    (4.9)    		 8.13 ↑
    (7.1)    		 4%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 56.4% – 86.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Nottingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Midtjylland is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Cunha (Inactive) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Gunn A. (Inactive) Hutchinson O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva (Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gogorza M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    27.09.2025 Nottingham Forest - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Betis - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Swansea City - Nottingham Forest 3:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    29.09.2025 Midtjylland - Randers FC 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Midtjylland 0:3
    14.09.2025 Nordsjælland - Midtjylland 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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