Result
1:3 penalties
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
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 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
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 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
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 Mexico | Disney+ |
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 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
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 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (372/497) | 76% (354/468) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (372/497) | 76% (354/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (33/89) | 32% (26/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (45/98) | 62% (98/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 85% (22/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Dominguez N. ⚽, Milenkovic N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Billing P. ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
- 46', Byskov V. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 51', Junior Brumado 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 2, Yates R. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
- 56', Junior Brumado ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
- 61', Ndoye D. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 61', Hutchinson O. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 61', Milenkovic N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Erlic M. ⚽,
- 71', Osorio D. 🟨,
- 75', McAtee J. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 75', Bakwa D. ↓, Aina O. ↑,
- 88', Bravo P. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Diao O. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
- 91', Dominguez N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 94', Murillo 🟨,
- 102', Erlic M. 🟨,
- 103', Osorio D. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 114', Anderson E. 🟨,
- Penalties (0 - 3)
- 1, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Cho Gue-Sung (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Sangare I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Simsir A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Chilufya E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
31.6% | Draw
27.2% | Nottingham Forest
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Midtjylland - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.87) |
3.51 ↑
(3.48) |
2.32 ↓
(2.4) |
4.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 19 - 44.2%). Nottingham will win (votes: 19 - 44.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 29.4% – 59%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Nottingham (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nottingham (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +1.5 - Nottingham (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Nottingham (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Nottingham (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Midtjylland (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +3 - Midtjylland (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 - Midtjylland (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Nottingham (votes: 6 - 46.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- Recent performances by Midtjylland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nottingham might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Brynhildsen O.
(Knee Injury)
Djabi A.
(Injury)
Ejeheri O.
(Inactive)
Franculino
(Knee Injury)
Gogorza M.
(Injury)
Mbabu K.
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Awoniyi T.
(Inactive)
Boly W.
(Knee Injury)
John Victor
(Knee Injury)
Netz L.
(Inactive)
Ortega S.
(Calf Injury)
Savona N.
(Knee Injury)
Wood Ch.
(Knee Injury)
da Silva Moreira E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Cunha
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Nottingham Forest?
Midtjylland has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Midtjylland?
Nottingham Forest has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
12.03.2026
Nottingham Forest
-
Midtjylland
0:1
02.10.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Midtjylland
2:3
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
