Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League Two - Round 14
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.48 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 66% | 34% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (478/590) | 59% (173/292) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.48 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.03 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 12 | 10 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (478/590) | 59% (173/292) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 29% (17/59) | 25% (15/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 47% (56/119) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 10% (2/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.80 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 24 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 17 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 58% (11/19) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 64 | 59 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 39 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.59 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.03 | -1.41 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', McDonald R. ↓, Ness L. ↑, 
- 30', Lavery S. 🟨, 
- 36', Lavery S. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Kaikai S. 🟨, 
- 54', Mpanzu P. 🟨, 
- 62', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑, 
- 62', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑, 
- 62', Robertson S. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑, 
- 72', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Jones J. (A), 
- 77', Kaikai S. ↓, Brophy J. ↑, 
- 77', Purrington B. ↓, Knight B. ↑, 
- 77', Ball D. ↓, Smith K. ↑, 
- 78', Gibbons J. ↓, Jobe M. ↑, 
- 78', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑, 
- 90', 2 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, 
- 90+1', Morrison M. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Notts County 40.7%
 | Draw 29%
 | Cambridge United 30.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Notts County - Cambridge United Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.35 ↓ (2.41)
 | 3.22 ↓ (3.31)
 | 3.06 ↑ (2.79)
 | 6.4% (7.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Notts County - Cambridge United?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
- Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cambridge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Appere L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Cambridge United?
                    
                    
                        
                            Notts County has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Notts County?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cambridge United has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cambridge United were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Notts County                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cambridge United                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Two Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 | 
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 | 
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 | 
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 | 
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 | 
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 | 
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 | 
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 | 
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 | 
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 | 
| 17 | Tranmere | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 | 
| 21 | Accrington | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 | 
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | 
      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League