Lincoln City vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Lincoln City - Notts County
Result
3:0
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.731.19
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
80% (300/373)84% (474/562)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.731.19
xG on target (xGOT)
3.250.68
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (300/373)84% (474/562)
Long passes
45% (28/62)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
60% (60/100)71% (92/129)
Crosses
35% (8/23)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.04
Throw-ins
3616
Fouls
1611
Tackles
50% (5/10)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.683.25
Goals prevented
0.680.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bradley S. , Reach A. (A),
  • 43', House B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 0, House B. , Ring E. (A),
  • 61', Reach A. , Street R. ,
  • 61', Draper F. , Collins J. ,
  • 61', Jackson A. , Towler R. ,
  • 61', Montsma L. , Hamer T. ,
  • 67', Traore M. , Iwunze H. ,
  • 68', Aljofree S. , Robinson T. ,
  • 68', Jarvis W. , Muir K. ,
  • 73', House B. , McGrandles C. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Collins J. ,
  • 85', Thorn O. 🟨,
  • 87', McGrandles C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
54.8%
Draw
25.5%
Notts County
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 26.3% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 25.4% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Lincoln City - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    3.72
    (3.49)
    4.93
    (4.31)
    5.7%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
    • Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Notts County were as follows:
    07.11.2023 Lincoln City - Notts County 2:0
    08.08.2023 Notts County - Lincoln City 0:2
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Notts County
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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