Result
3:0
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 84% (474/562) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 84% (474/562) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bradley S. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
- 43', House B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 0, House B. ⚽, Ring E. (A),
- 61', Reach A. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 61', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 61', Jackson A. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 61', Montsma L. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 67', Traore M. ↓, Iwunze H. ↑,
- 68', Aljofree S. ↓, Robinson T. ↑,
- 68', Jarvis W. ↓, Muir K. ↑,
- 73', House B. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 0, Collins J. ⚽,
- 85', Thorn O. 🟨,
- 87', McGrandles C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City 54.8% | Draw 25.5% | Notts County 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lincoln City - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.75) |
3.72 ↑ (3.49) |
4.93 ↑ (4.31) |
5.7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
- Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Notts County?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Lincoln City?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Notts County were as follows:
07.11.2023
Lincoln City
-
Notts County
2:0
08.08.2023
Notts County
-
Lincoln City
0:2
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Notts County
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | |
| 10 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 6 | Luton | Swindon | |
| 7 | Northampton | Walsall | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | |