Notts County vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Oldham Athletic
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 11
  • Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.55
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
124
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
74% (326/442)71% (280/396)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.38
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
2919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
122
Passes
74% (326/442)71% (280/396)
Long passes
24% (20/84)38% (34/89)
Passes in final third
62% (81/131)63% (74/117)
Crosses
27% (3/11)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.06
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
212
Tackles
55% (11/20)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5750
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
0.382.09
Goals prevented
-0.620.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Daniels D. (Own goal),
  • 26', Daniels D. , Sutton W. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Hall T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jones J. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 46', Drummond K. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 49', 3 - 0, Jatta A. , Hall T. (A),
  • 54', 3 - 1, Mellon M. , Hudson M. (A),
  • 55', Quigley J. , Morris K. ,
  • 56', Payne K. , Pett T. ,
  • 65', Hall T. , Grant C. ,
  • 65', Jatta A. , Dennis M. ,
  • 65', Iorpenda T. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 68', Conlon T. 🟨,
  • 78', Caprice J. , Hannant L. ,
  • 86', Roos K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Palmer M. , Norburn O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.9%
Draw
24.9%
Oldham Athletic
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.9% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.1)
    4.78
    (3.35)
    6.41
    (3.41)
    -13.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
    • Notts County has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oldham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Leake J. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
    01.01.2023 Oldham Athletic - Notts County 2:2
    26.12.2022 Notts County - Oldham Athletic 4:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League