Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (326/442) | 71% (280/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (326/442) | 71% (280/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (20/84) | 38% (34/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (81/131) | 63% (74/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Daniels D. (Own goal),
- 26', Daniels D. ↓, Sutton W. ↑,
- 29', 2 - 0, Hall T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 46', Drummond K. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Hall T. (A),
- 54', 3 - 1, Mellon M. ⚽, Hudson M. (A),
- 55', Quigley J. ↓, Morris K. ↑,
- 56', Payne K. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
- 65', Hall T. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 65', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 65', Iorpenda T. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 68', Conlon T. 🟨,
- 78', Caprice J. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
- 86', Roos K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Palmer M. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
55.9% | Draw
24.9% | Oldham Athletic
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notts County - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.1) |
4.78 ↑
(3.35) |
6.41 ↑
(3.41) |
-13.6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
- Notts County has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oldham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Leake J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Oldham Athletic?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Notts County?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
01.01.2023
Oldham Athletic
-
Notts County
2:2
26.12.2022
Notts County
-
Oldham Athletic
4:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
