Result
3:0
24/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
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| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
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| 68% (235/346) | 73% (302/415) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.74 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.37 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 68% (235/346) | 73% (302/415) |
| Long passes |
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| 25% (15/59) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 60% (83/138) | 68% (64/94) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (6/21) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.61 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
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| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 44% (11/25) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.30 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.30 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Drummond K. ⚽, Payne K. (A),
- 24', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 28', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
- 34', Jones J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Grant C. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 48', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
- 57', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 58', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
- 75', Woods R. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
- 75', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 75', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 75', Palmer M. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
- 84', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
- 84', Drummond K. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 35.8% | Draw 28.9% | Notts County 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Oldham Athletic - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (2.6) |
3.25 ↑ (3.2) |
2.64 ↑ (2.54) |
7% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
- Oldham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Notts County has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Hawkes J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Notts County?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Oldham Athletic?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Notts County were as follows:
04.10.2025
Notts County
-
Oldham Athletic
3:1
01.01.2023
Oldham Athletic
-
Notts County
2:2
26.12.2022
Notts County
-
Oldham Athletic
4:1
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League