Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.07
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
125
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Long passes
28% (14/50)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)59% (62/105)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.24
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
512
Tackles
75% (12/16)87% (20/23)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.073.36
Goals prevented
0.07-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Lowe J. (Own goal),
  • 26', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 34', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 41', Warrington L. 🟨,
  • 45', Platt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ,
  • 51', Plant J. , Ironside J. ,
  • 51', Warrington L. , Norman C. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Grant C. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Jones J. , Ndlovu L. (A),
  • 61', Whitaker C. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 63', Platt M. , McDonald R. ,
  • 64', Ndlovu L. , Dennis M. ,
  • 64', Kouhyar Q. , Hall T. ,
  • 67', Lowe J. , McGowan A. ,
  • 67', Patrick O. , Dickov M. ,
  • 76', Robertson S. , Tangen H. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Dennis M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.6%
Draw
25.3%
Tranmere Rovers
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Notts County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.77)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    4.82
    (4.03)
    7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Tranmere Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 1:2
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League