Result
5:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (334/432) | 76% (340/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.36 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (334/432) | 76% (340/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (63/104) | 59% (62/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 87% (20/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 3.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Lowe J. (Own goal),
- 26', Norburn O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 34', Obiero Z. 🟨,
- 41', Warrington L. 🟨,
- 45', Platt M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ⚽,
- 51', Plant J. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 51', Warrington L. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Ndlovu L. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
- 57', 4 - 0, Jones J. ⚽, Ndlovu L. (A),
- 61', Whitaker C. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 63', Platt M. ↓, McDonald R. ↑,
- 64', Ndlovu L. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 64', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 67', Lowe J. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
- 67', Patrick O. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 76', Robertson S. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 0, Dennis M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Notts County 55.6% | Draw 25.3% | Tranmere Rovers 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Notts County - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.77) |
3.71 ↑ (3.58) |
4.82 ↑ (4.03) |
7% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Tranmere Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Tranmere Rovers?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Notts County?
Tranmere Rovers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
30.08.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Notts County
1:2
22.02.2025
Notts County
-
Tranmere Rovers
2:1
10.08.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Notts County
0:0
01.01.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Notts County
4:2
26.08.2023
Notts County
-
Tranmere Rovers
2:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League