Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.07
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
125
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Long passes
28% (14/50)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)59% (62/105)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.24
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
512
Tackles
75% (12/16)87% (20/23)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.073.36
Goals prevented
0.07-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Lowe J. (Own goal),
  • 26', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 34', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 41', Warrington L. 🟨,
  • 45', Platt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ,
  • 51', Plant J. , Ironside J. ,
  • 51', Warrington L. , Norman C. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Grant C. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Jones J. , Ndlovu L. (A),
  • 61', Whitaker C. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 63', Platt M. , McDonald R. ,
  • 64', Ndlovu L. , Dennis M. ,
  • 64', Kouhyar Q. , Hall T. ,
  • 67', Lowe J. , McGowan A. ,
  • 67', Patrick O. , Dickov M. ,
  • 76', Robertson S. , Tangen H. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Dennis M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.6%
Draw
25.3%
Tranmere Rovers
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Notts County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.77)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    4.82
    (4.03)
    7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Tranmere Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 1:2
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League