Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Tranmere Rovers - Notts County
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.77
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
71% (273/385)74% (303/409)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.24
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
710
Passes
71% (273/385)74% (303/409)
Long passes
44% (33/75)23% (16/70)
Passes in final third
55% (77/141)50% (48/96)
Crosses
36% (9/25)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.62
Throw-ins
3824
Fouls
108
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
3841
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.240.44
Goals prevented
0.24-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Smallwood R. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Patrick O. , Whitaker C. (A),
  • 45+2', Jones J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bristow E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Dennis M. , Iorpenda T. (A),
  • 59', Iorpenda T. , Jatta A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Gordon K. ,
  • 68', Bristow E. , Harris T. ,
  • 68', Davison J. , Jennings C. ,
  • 69', Harris T. 🟨,
  • 73', O'Connor L. 🟨,
  • 74', Kenneh N. , Blacker B. ,
  • 77', Jones J. , Grant C. ,
  • 84', Whitaker C. , Joseph J. ,
  • 84', Smallwood R. , Lowe J. ,
  • 87', Roos K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', McGee L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
Draw
29.5%
Notts County
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 29.7% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 28.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.3)
    3.18
    (3.15)
    3.17
    (3.18)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tranmere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Finley S. (Suspended) Williams J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Inactive) Luker J. (Injury) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Notts County were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League