Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.07
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
125
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Long passes
28% (14/50)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)59% (62/105)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.24
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
512
Tackles
75% (12/16)87% (20/23)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.073.36
Goals prevented
0.07-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Lowe J. (Own goal),
  • 26', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 34', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 41', Warrington L. 🟨,
  • 45', Platt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ,
  • 51', Plant J. , Ironside J. ,
  • 51', Warrington L. , Norman C. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Grant C. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Jones J. , Ndlovu L. (A),
  • 61', Whitaker C. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 63', Platt M. , McDonald R. ,
  • 64', Ndlovu L. , Dennis M. ,
  • 64', Kouhyar Q. , Hall T. ,
  • 67', Lowe J. , McGowan A. ,
  • 67', Patrick O. , Dickov M. ,
  • 76', Robertson S. , Tangen H. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Dennis M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.6%
Draw
25.3%
Tranmere Rovers
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Notts County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.77)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    4.82
    (4.03)
    7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Tranmere Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 1:2
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League