Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Radakovic N. (Srb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (428/535) | 67% (169/254) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (428/535) | 67% (169/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (41/83) | 28% (17/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (107/168) | 47% (28/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 41% (9/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Lincoln ⚽, Holender F. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Camaj D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', 1 - 2, Kuveljic N. ⚽, Osei K. B. (A),
- 37', Dulic M. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 2, Camaj D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Holender F. ↓, Babic I. ↑,
- 46', Cejic U. ↓, Trajkovic A. ↑,
- 53', Mirosavic V. ↓, Bruncevic E. ↑,
- 68', Lincoln ↓, Pavkovic D. ↑,
- 78', Osei K. B. ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 80', Davidovic I. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 83', Wanderson ↓, Krsmanovic N. ↑,
- 86', Stanisavljevic S. ↓, Kotzebue F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
55.2% | Draw
26.7% | Spartak Subotica
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Subotica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Subotica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.95) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
5.1 ↑
(3.9) |
8.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Novi Pazar (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Novi Pazar will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.
- In recent matches, Novi Pazar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spartak Subotica has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Spartak Subotica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Novi Pazar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Spartak Subotica?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Novi Pazar?
Spartak Subotica has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica were as follows:
24.08.2025
Spartak Subotica
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
10.07.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Spartak Subotica
1:2
23.11.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
21.07.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Spartak Subotica
3:2
13.05.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Spartak Subotica
0:1
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
