Result
1:2
31/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (380/470) | 69% (192/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (380/470) | 69% (192/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (99/146) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 48% (10/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Celis M. 🟥,
- 25', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Rubio P. ⚽, Cerezo B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Insaurralde C. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
- 56', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 58', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 62', Jauregui B. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
- 64', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 64', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 64', Castellani G. 🟨,
- 70', Ratotti F. 🟨,
- 71', Nadruz A. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Marin M. ⚽, Jeraldino I. (A),
- 79', 1 - 2, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Ratotti F. (A),
- 85', Aranguiz P. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
- 89', Sanhueza D. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
57% | Draw
23.9% | Unión Española
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Ñublense - Unión Española Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.84) |
3.98 ↑
(3.58) |
5.1 ↑
(4.12) |
3.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Unión Española?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- Ñublense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Unión Española's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ñublense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ñublense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Unión Española?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Ñublense?
Unión Española has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Unión Española were as follows:
14.04.2025
Unión Española
-
Ñublense
3:0
22.08.2024
Ñublense
-
Unión Española
0:0
31.03.2024
Unión Española
-
Ñublense
5:3
06.07.2023
Ñublense
-
Unión Española
0:1
20.01.2023
Unión Española
-
Ñublense
0:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
