Atlético de Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
19/07/2024 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 24
  • Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
136
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
80
Corner Kicks
77
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
12897
Dangerous Attacks
7257

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', Callegari S. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Amarfil M. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Castro F. ,
  • 37', Albertengo L. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Martinez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Oliver F. , Vidal P. ,
  • 46', Dichiara R. , Tomatis B. ,
  • 46', Aguero E. , Capurro J. ,
  • 54', Amarfil M. 🟨,
  • 65', Cardozo E. , Maggi I. ,
  • 65', Martinez A. , Zurita M. ,
  • 67', 1 - 3, Aguirre J. ,
  • 73', Castro F. , Vega G. ,
  • 74', Ramirez R. , Pastorelli A. ,
  • 80', Ortiz M. , Fernandez G. ,
  • 84', 1 - 4, Maggi I. ,
  • 86', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 5, Amarfil M. ,
  • 90', Navarro G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
37.8%
Draw
33.5%
Nueva Chicago
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 31.9% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 31.9% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (3.11)
    2.76
    (2.89)
    3.24
    (2.39)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nueva Chicago: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Atlético de Rafaela has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela 2:0
    Latest results of Nueva Chicago
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation