Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Mielec - Odra Opole
Result
2:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
914
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
115
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Kwiatkowski P. 🟨,
  • 31', Milos M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Prikryl T. , Spychala M. (A),
  • 57', Kwiatkowski P. 🟨,
  • 65', Milos M. , Piroch J. ,
  • 71', Pisek J. , Sommerfeld K. ,
  • 71', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 71', Losada M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 72', Szrek J. , Szklinski S. ,
  • 72', Ramos L. , Purzycki A. ,
  • 74', Wojcik A. 🟨,
  • 77', Przybylko K. , Kobusinski S. ,
  • 77', Dudzinski D. , Tront D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Odolak K. , Sadlocha K. (A),
  • 82', Kavcic M. , Mazurek D. ,
  • 84', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Odolak K. (A),
  • 90+4', Kruszelnicki P. , Niedzwiedz N. ,
  • 90+5', Niedzwiedz N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
37%
Draw
29.6%
Odra Opole
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 28% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.3% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.
  • Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Stal Mielec - Odra Opole Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.15)
    3.14
    (3.28)
    2.78
    (3.15)
    8.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Odra Opole?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Odra Opole will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
    • Stal Mielec is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Odra Opole has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Odra Opole were as follows:
    26.09.2023 Odra Opole - Stal Mielec 1:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Odra Opole
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2