Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Mielec - Odra Opole
Result
2:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
914
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
115
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Kwiatkowski P. 🟨,
  • 31', Milos M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Prikryl T. , Spychala M. (A),
  • 57', Kwiatkowski P. 🟨,
  • 65', Milos M. , Piroch J. ,
  • 71', Pisek J. , Sommerfeld K. ,
  • 71', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 71', Losada M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 72', Szrek J. , Szklinski S. ,
  • 72', Ramos L. , Purzycki A. ,
  • 74', Wojcik A. 🟨,
  • 77', Przybylko K. , Kobusinski S. ,
  • 77', Dudzinski D. , Tront D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Odolak K. , Sadlocha K. (A),
  • 82', Kavcic M. , Mazurek D. ,
  • 84', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Odolak K. (A),
  • 90+4', Kruszelnicki P. , Niedzwiedz N. ,
  • 90+5', Niedzwiedz N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
37%
Draw
29.6%
Odra Opole
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 28% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.3% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.
  • Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Stal Mielec - Odra Opole Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.15)
    3.14
    (3.28)
    2.78
    (3.15)
    8.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Odra Opole?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Odra Opole will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
    • Stal Mielec is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Odra Opole has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Odra Opole were as follows:
    26.09.2023 Odra Opole - Stal Mielec 1:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Odra Opole
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2