Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/467) | 77% (322/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/467) | 77% (322/419) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Yamada H. (Pen),
- 38', 1 - 1, Derlan ⚽, Nomura N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Nakagawa H. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
- 55', Isa K. ↓, Gleyson ↑,
- 57', Matsumoto N. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
- 57', Yamada H. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
- 62', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
- 77', Utsumoto S. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
- 78', Shige T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 78', Nishikawa J. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 78', Sakurai T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
- 83', Arima K. 🟨,
- 86', Nomura N. ↓, Ikeda R. ↑,
- 86', Nagasawa S. ↓, Imazu Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
43.1% | Draw
31.3% | Oita Trinita
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.22) |
2.93 ↓
(3.05) |
3.54 ↑
(3.4) |
8.6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 0.
- Tosu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oita Trinita is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tosu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Oita Trinita?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oita Trinita won against Sagan Tosu?
Oita Trinita has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita were as follows:
29.04.2025
Oita Trinita
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 48 |
| 2 | Chiba | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 41 |
| 3 | Vegalta Sendai | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 41 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Tokushima | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 23:13 | 10 | 38 |
| 7 | Iwata | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Kofu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Imabari | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 31 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:23 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Fujieda MYFC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Blaublitz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 23 |
| 17 | Toyama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 19:27 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Kumamoto | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 19 |
| 20 | Ehime | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
