Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Kim Hyun-woo ⚽, Kimoto T. (A),
- 43', Suzuki D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
- 59', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 65', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Isa K. ↑,
- 68', Isotani S. ↓, Kamiyama K. ↑,
- 68', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 75', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
- 75', Kimoto M. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
- 79', Toyoda A. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
- 83', Kimoto T. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
- 85', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
43.8% | Draw
28.3% | Oita Trinita
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.07) |
3.25 ↓
(3.49) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
8.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1.
- Tosu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oita Trinita has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Oita Trinita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tosu is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Oita Trinita?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oita Trinita won against Sagan Tosu?
Oita Trinita has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Oita Trinita
2:1
29.04.2025
Oita Trinita
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:16 | 11 |
| 6 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 8 | Vanraure | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:22 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Gifu | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Kofu | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yamaga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 15 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Iwata | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:24 | 5 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Toyama | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 6 | Kamatamare | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:13 | 12 |
| 7 | Osaka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Ehime | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 9 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kumamoto | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:17 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
