Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita
Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
83% (386/467)77% (322/419)
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
83% (386/467)77% (322/419)
Fouls
1011
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Yamada H. (Pen),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Derlan , Nomura N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Nakagawa H. , Sakakibara K. ,
  • 55', Isa K. , Gleyson ,
  • 57', Matsumoto N. , Nishizawa K. ,
  • 57', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Shinkawa S. , Arai H. (A),
  • 62', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
  • 77', Utsumoto S. , Satsukawa A. ,
  • 78', Shige T. , Matsuo Y. ,
  • 78', Nishikawa J. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 78', Sakurai T. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 83', Arima K. 🟨,
  • 86', Nomura N. , Ikeda R. ,
  • 86', Nagasawa S. , Imazu Y. ,

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
43.1%
Draw
31.3%
Oita Trinita
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 30.5% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.4% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.22)
    2.93
    (3.05)
    3.54
    (3.4)
    8.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 0.
    • Tosu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oita Trinita is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tosu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Oita Trinita - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    21.06.2025 Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu 0:0
    11.06.2025 Sagan Tosu - Ehime 1:0
    31.05.2025 Sagan Tosu - Ehime 2:2
    Latest results of Oita Trinita
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

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