Result
1:0 penalties
25/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matsuoka H. 🟨,
- 62', Matsuoka H. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
- 63', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
- 72', Asakawa H. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
- 74', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
- 83', Ihara A. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
- 84', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
- 84', Utsumoto S. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
- 90', Kimoto M. 🟨,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Ueno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Sakakibara K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ikeda R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nakagawa H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Ishiura T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Isa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Sota K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Misao Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kikuchi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Matheus Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Horiuchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Nodake J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ryūkyū
24.7% | Draw
28.7% | Oita Trinita
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↓
(3.7) |
3.17 ↓
(3.33) |
1.95 ↓
(1.99) |
10%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Ryūkyū has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oita Trinita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oita Trinita will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ryūkyū won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryūkyū won against Oita Trinita?
Ryūkyū has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oita Trinita won against Ryūkyū?
Oita Trinita has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita were as follows:
21.03.2026
Oita Trinita
-
Ryūkyū
2:3
23.10.2022
Ryūkyū
-
Oita Trinita
1:0
Latest results of Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:22 | 17 |
| 6 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Kusatsu | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Gifu | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Yamaga | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19:32 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11:30 | 9 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Ehime | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Imabari | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Kamatamare | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:28 | 12 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 36 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
