Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
122:120
17/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
11177
Field goals made
4142
Field goals %
36.94%54.55%
2-point field goals attempts
6148
2-point field goals made
2129
2-point field goals %
34.43%60.42%
3-point field goals attempts
5029
3-point field goals made
2013
3-point field goals %
40%44.83%
Free throws attempts
2828
Free throws made
2023
Free throws %
71.4%82.1%
Offensive rebounds
215
Defensive rebounds
3041
Total rebounds
5146
Assists
3023
Blocks
46
Turnovers
415
Steals
73
Personal fouls
2119
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
20.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 76%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (3.95)

    1.2
    (1.25)
    4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 234.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +9, OT - Oklahoma City (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miami Heat will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 3 - 60%). Oklahoma City (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 112:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oklahoma City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Oklahoma City is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Oklahoma City: Hartenstein I. (Calf Injury) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2122:2124. (average 106.1:106.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 958:953. (average 106.4:105.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder were as follows:
    11.01.2026 Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat 124:112
    12.02.2025 Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat 115:101
    20.12.2024 Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder 97:104
    15.07.2024 Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder 102:73
    08.03.2024 Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat 107:100
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    10.01.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 123:99
    Latest results of Oklahoma City Thunder
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )