Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', Camara O. ↓, Amanovic A. ↑,
- 73', Ebong M. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 76', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Muzhikov S. ↑,
- 77', Marat D. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 77', Tazhibay B. ↓, Enzo ↑,
- 80', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 2, Gripshi N. (Pen),
- 82', Kalaica B. 🟨,
- 83', Satanov S. 🟨,
- 84', Satanov S. ↓, Flyuk S. ↑,
- 87', Gripshi N. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
- 87', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Condric J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Okzhetpes
9.3% | Draw
16.2% | Astana
74.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okzhetpes's form might have worsened.Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Okzhetpes - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.18 ↑
(5.04) |
5.85 ↑
(3.71) |
1.27 ↓
(1.64) |
5.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.
- Okzhetpes has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Okzhetpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Astana is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:42. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Okzhetpes won against Astana?
Okzhetpes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Okzhetpes?
Astana has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Okzhetpes - Astana were as follows:
15.06.2025
Astana
-
Okzhetpes
5:2
13.04.2025
Okzhetpes
-
Astana
1:2
27.09.2023
Astana
-
Okzhetpes
5:2
14.05.2023
Okzhetpes
-
Astana
0:0
Latest results of Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
