Okzhetpes vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Okzhetpes - Astana
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
313
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
135

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', Camara O. , Amanovic A. ,
  • 73', Ebong M. , Beysebekov A. ,
  • 76', Adakhadziev A. , Muzhikov S. ,
  • 77', Marat D. , Jovanovic S. ,
  • 77', Tazhibay B. , Enzo ,
  • 80', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Gripshi N. (Pen),
  • 82', Kalaica B. 🟨,
  • 83', Satanov S. 🟨,
  • 84', Satanov S. , Flyuk S. ,
  • 87', Gripshi N. , Camaj D. ,
  • 87', Tomasov M. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Condric J. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Okzhetpes
9.3%
Draw
16.2%
Astana
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 25% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 24.1% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okzhetpes's form might have worsened.
  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Okzhetpes - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.18
    (5.04)
    5.85
    (3.71)
    1.27
    (1.64)
    5.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.
    • Okzhetpes has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Okzhetpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Astana is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:42. (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Okzhetpes - Astana were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Astana - Okzhetpes 5:2
    13.04.2025 Okzhetpes - Astana 1:2
    27.09.2023 Astana - Okzhetpes 5:2
    14.05.2023 Okzhetpes - Astana 0:0
    Latest results of Okzhetpes
    13.09.2025 Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes 3:1
    31.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Kairat 0:1
    17.08.2025 Aktobe - Okzhetpes 2:1
    09.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Zhetysu 1:2
    02.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    Latest results of Astana
    19.09.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2:3
    14.09.2025 Astana - Yelimay Semey 3:3
    28.08.2025 Astana - Kaisar 5:1
    23.08.2025 Zhenis - Astana 3:2
    17.08.2025 Astana - Ulytau 4:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana24165360:263453
    2Kairat Almaty23164346:182852
    3Tobol24155441:221950
    4Aktobe24133834:221242
    5Yelimay Semey24126638:261242
    6Zhenis24810634:27734
    7Okzhetpes24951032:33-132
    8Ordabasy2487928:25331
    9Kyzylzhar24591024:31-724
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan23491018:35-1721
    11Ulytau24561317:38-2121
    12Kaisar Kyzylorda243111021:39-1820
    13Atyrau24461419:41-2218
    14Turan24441619:48-2916

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League