Okzhetpes vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Okzhetpes - Astana
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
313
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
135

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', Camara O. , Amanovic A. ,
  • 73', Ebong M. , Beysebekov A. ,
  • 76', Adakhadziev A. , Muzhikov S. ,
  • 77', Marat D. , Jovanovic S. ,
  • 77', Tazhibay B. , Enzo ,
  • 80', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Gripshi N. (Pen),
  • 82', Kalaica B. 🟨,
  • 83', Satanov S. 🟨,
  • 84', Satanov S. , Flyuk S. ,
  • 87', Gripshi N. , Camaj D. ,
  • 87', Tomasov M. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Condric J. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Okzhetpes
9.3%
Draw
16.2%
Astana
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 25% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 24.1% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okzhetpes's form might have worsened.
  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Okzhetpes - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.18
    (5.04)
    5.85
    (3.71)
    1.27
    (1.64)
    5.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.
    • Okzhetpes has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Okzhetpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Astana is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:42. (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Okzhetpes - Astana were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Astana - Okzhetpes 5:2
    13.04.2025 Okzhetpes - Astana 1:2
    27.09.2023 Astana - Okzhetpes 5:2
    14.05.2023 Okzhetpes - Astana 0:0
    Latest results of Okzhetpes
    13.09.2025 Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes 3:1
    31.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Kairat 0:1
    17.08.2025 Aktobe - Okzhetpes 2:1
    09.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Zhetysu 1:2
    02.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    Latest results of Astana
    19.09.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2:3
    14.09.2025 Astana - Yelimay Semey 3:3
    28.08.2025 Astana - Kaisar 5:1
    23.08.2025 Zhenis - Astana 3:2
    17.08.2025 Astana - Ulytau 4:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty26185353:193459
    2FC Astana26176366:303657
    3Tobol ✔ 26166445:252054
    4Yelimay Semey26146647:311648
    5Aktobe26134939:291043
    6Zhenis26812637:30736
    7Ordabasy2698937:28935
    8Okzhetpes261051137:43-635
    9Kyzylzhar26691125:32-727
    10Ulytau26581320:41-2123
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda263131024:42-1822
    12Zhetysu Taldykorgan26491319:43-2421
    13Atyrau26471522:45-2319
    14Turan26441825:58-3316

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )