Motagua vs Olancho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
135
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
118
Corner kicks
135

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Melendez C. 🟨,
  • 34', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ,
  • 59', Reyes A. , Gomez R. ,
  • 59', Da Silva R. L. , Mejia C. ,
  • 61', Lopez K. , Mejia Y. ,
  • 61', Delgado J. , Martinez D. ,
  • 62', Vega L. , Santos M. ,
  • 62', Macias J. , John Kleber ,
  • 73', Leiva G. , Lasso J. ,
  • 74', Melendez D. , Serrano J. ,
  • 85', Munoz N. , Benitez E. ,
  • 85', Gomez H. , Calix C. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', Fonseca H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Motagua
52.5%
Draw
25.8%
Olancho
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 25.2% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 24.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Motagua - Olancho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.76)
    3.56
    (3.59)
    4.23
    (3.85)
    9%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
    • Motagua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Olancho has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Motagua will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Olancho were as follows:
    20.11.2025 Motagua - Olancho 3:2
    09.08.2025 Olancho - Motagua 3:1
    12.03.2025 Motagua - Olancho 1:0
    25.01.2025 Olancho - Motagua 2:1
    03.11.2024 Motagua - Olancho 2:2
    Latest results of Motagua
    25.02.2026 Juticalpa - Motagua 1:2
    15.02.2026 Motagua - CD Marathón 1:1
    11.02.2026 Génesis PN - Motagua 0:5
    Latest results of Olancho
    21.02.2026 Olancho - CD Marathón 1:1
    14.02.2026 Olancho - Juticalpa 4:1
    11.02.2026 Choloma - Olancho 0:1
    01.02.2026 Olancho - Lobos UPNFM 1:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Espana853016:10618
    2Motagua844015:6916
    3Marathon925211:9211
    4Olimpia832310:8211
    5UPNFM824211:10110
    6Olancho824210:9110
    7Victoria82429:9010
    8Juticalpa92348:17-99
    9Platense815212:1118
    10Choloma81345:10-56
    11Genesis81346:14-86

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )