Result
3:2
20/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Vazquez M. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 46', Mejia C. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
- 46', Argueta C. ↓, Melendez C. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Cardozo Coitinho S. ⚽,
- 55', Palma C. 🟨,
- 56', Mejia Y. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 56', Sander R. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 64', Portillo J. ↓, Zapata R. ↑,
- 65', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 2, Macias J. ⚽,
- 77', Macias J. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
- 77', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 2, Palma C. ⚽,
- 85', Martinez D. ↓, Elvir O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motagua 48.5% | Draw 25.6% | Olancho 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Motagua - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.87) |
3.55 ↓ (3.6) |
3.52 ↑ (3.34) |
9.8% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motagua - Olancho?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motagua (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1.
- Motagua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olancho is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Motagua could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olancho?
Motagua has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Motagua?
Olancho has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Olancho were as follows:
09.08.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
3:1
12.03.2025
Motagua
-
Olancho
1:0
25.01.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
2:1
03.11.2024
Motagua
-
Olancho
2:2
24.08.2024
Olancho
-
Motagua
0:0
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon ✔ | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Olimpia ✔ | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 42:27 | 15 | 41 |
| 3 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Platense ✔ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Olancho | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 38:30 | 8 | 27 |
| 7 | UPNFM | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 28:42 | -14 | 21 |
| 9 | Genesis | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Victoria | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 23:39 | -16 | 14 |
| 11 | Choloma | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 22:57 | -35 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Marathon is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
Platense is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )