Result
1:0
12/03/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Martinez Betanco W. J. 🟨,
- 34', Ledesma D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Benitez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Serrano J. 🟥,
- 56', Martinez Betanco W. J. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
- 56', Ledesma D. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 56', Gomez R. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 58', Benitez E. ↓, Elvir O. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 72', Moncada M. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Mejia C. ⚽,
- 75', Mejia C. 🟨,
- 80', Lopez A. ↓, Andino E. ↑,
- 80', Delgado J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 80', Mejia C. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
- 90+2', Hernandez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
44.6% | Draw
29% | Olancho
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motagua's form might have worsened.Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olancho's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Motagua - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.7) |
3.18 ↓
(3.64) |
3.49 ↓
(4.44) |
8.5%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Motagua won 0.
- Recent matches Motagua is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Olancho is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Olancho could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Motagua is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Motagua won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Motagua won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olancho?
Motagua has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Motagua?
Olancho has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Olancho were as follows:
25.01.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
2:1
03.11.2024
Motagua
-
Olancho
2:2
24.08.2024
Olancho
-
Motagua
0:0
10.03.2024
Olancho
-
Motagua
0:0
21.01.2024
Motagua
-
Olancho
2:2
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Olancho | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Juticalpa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Genesis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Choloma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 | Motagua | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Victoria | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
