Result
0:0
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Farmer A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (144/260) | 67% (211/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (144/260) | 67% (211/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/75) | 34% (30/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (49/106) | 58% (79/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Caprice J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Garner J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 73', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 81', Payne K. 🟨,
- 85', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
- 90', Holicek M. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 90+5', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 40.9% | Draw 28% | Crewe Alexandra 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Oldham Athletic - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.12) |
3.35 ↓ (3.41) |
3.02 ↓ (3.19) |
6.3% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Crewe will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Oldham could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Inactive)
March J.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Simeu D.
(Injury)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Injury)
Finney C.
(Injury)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Scott I.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Crewe Alexandra?
Oldham Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Oldham Athletic?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League