Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.25
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1823
Shots on target
74
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Passes
68% (220/322)65% (233/357)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.39
Total shots
1823
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
614
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
1014
Shots outside the box
99
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2033
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
913
Passes
68% (220/322)65% (233/357)
Long passes
43% (46/108)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
58% (76/132)63% (112/178)
Crosses
39% (7/18)41% (12/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.19
Throw ins
2130
Fouls
139
Tackles
54% (7/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
5318
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.390.97
Goals prevented
-0.61-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Drummond K. , Payne K. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Hutchinson R. , Holicek M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lankester J. , Powell J. ,
  • 46', Payne K. , Kavanagh C. ,
  • 46', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
  • 60', Stevens J. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 74', O'Reilly T. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 75', Pond A. 🟨,
  • 75', Sutton W. , Leake J. ,
  • 83', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Holicek M. ,
  • 90+2', Holicek M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sanders M. H. , Bogle O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
34.2%
Draw
28.6%
Oldham Athletic
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.6% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 28.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.39)
    3.28
    (3.36)
    2.51
    (2.77)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Oldham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
    • Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oldham is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Kavanagh C. (Inactive) Mellon M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J. (Injury) Ogle R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League