Result
3:0
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 31
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (274/394) | 66% (234/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.55 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (274/394) | 66% (234/352) |
| Long passes |
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| 33% (31/95) | 37% (28/76) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 61% (73/120) | 57% (78/138) |
| Crosses |
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| 11% (2/18) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 43 | 32 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 45% (9/20) | 59% (16/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Caprice J. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Scanlon J. ⚽, Drinan A. (A),
- 31', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 37', Wilson-Brown T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Batty J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Taylor K. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 61', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 61', Scanlon J. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
- 61', Borland A. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 63', Snowdon J. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 0, Holman F. ⚽,
- 75', Simeu D. ↓, Stevens J. ↑,
- 80', Kavanagh C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Olakigbe M. ↓, Middlemas B. ↑,
- 90+3', Batty J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Hoilett J. (A),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
39.9% | Draw
27.6% | Oldham Athletic
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.91) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
2.9 ↓
(3.7) |
6.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Oldham (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oldham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
- Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Swindon Town?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
16.08.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Swindon Town
1:2
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
