Result
4:1
28/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/373) | 81% (253/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/373) | 81% (253/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 66% (38/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (55/86) | 69% (53/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Vera J. 🟨,
- 36', Riquelme H. 🟨,
- 39', Espinola A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Alcaraz A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Riquelme H. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Sandoval H. ⚽,
- 51', Ruiz Diaz R. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Ruiz Diaz R. ⚽, Delvalle P. (A),
- 59', Acosta M. 🟥,
- 59', Delvalle P. 🟨,
- 60', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 67', Alcaraz A. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
- 67', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Leguizamon I. ⚽,
- 72', Rodriguez Armoa A. F. ↓, Chala A. ↑,
- 73', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
- 74', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 74', Gomez A. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 74', Sanabria S. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Lezcano R. ⚽,
- 81', Sandoval H. 🟨,
- 82', Sandoval H. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
- 82', Ortiz R. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 85', Alfonso E. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion 60.4% | Draw 24.2% | 2 de Mayo 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.59) |
3.86 ↑ (3.68) |
6.11 ↑ (5.57) |
7.5% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
- Olimpia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- 2 de Mayo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, 2 de Mayo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Olimpia is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Olimpia Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
28.01.2026
2 de Mayo
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
26.11.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
3:3
07.09.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Olimpia Asuncion
3:2
18.05.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:0
09.03.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
2:1
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )