Result
1:0
25/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/446) | 77% (282/367) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/446) | 77% (282/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (66/111) | 50% (41/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 61', Villalba P. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Alcaraz A. ⚽,
- 64', Martinez H. 🟨,
- 65', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 68', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
- 72', Recalde J. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 72', Caballero H. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 75', Alfonso F. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
- 76', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 76', Fretes A. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 83', Delmas E. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 89', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 90', Alcaraz A. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
- 90+1', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion
40.8% | Draw
30% | Libertad Asuncion
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.45) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
3.19 ↑
(2.68) |
7.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 0.
- Olimpia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Olimpia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
01.11.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:2
17.08.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
21.05.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
15.03.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
22.01.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
