Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:1
21/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 20
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.49
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
80% (346/430)73% (285/392)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.32
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
80% (346/430)73% (285/392)
Long passes
46% (25/54)33% (24/72)
Passes in final third
69% (94/137)44% (28/63)
Crosses
10% (2/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.49
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1713
Tackles
64% (7/11)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5258
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.320.53
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Espinoza M. , Alcaraz A. (A),
  • 16', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
  • 20', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 44', Ortiz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Franco I. , Martinez H. ,
  • 46', Franco Zayas A. F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 46', Rojas R. , Espinola A. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Redes R. , Dominguez J. (A),
  • 63', Sanabria L. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 65', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 66', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
  • 67', Lopez L. , Alfonzo A. ,
  • 68', Dominguez J. 🟥,
  • 72', Abreu L. , Gomez M. ,
  • 72', Pratto L. 🟨,
  • 76', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
  • 78', Fernandez M. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 82', Caballero H. , Villalba R. ,
  • 90', Pratto L. , Lopez E. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
34.1%
Draw
31.2%
Libertad Asuncion
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 28.8% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.77)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.68
    (2.5)
    8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    22.01.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    20.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 0:1
    11.08.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 4:0
    05.06.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 1:3
    Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )