Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción).

: Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 20
Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	0.49
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (346/430)	73% (285/392)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.32
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
13	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	17
Passes
80% (346/430)	73% (285/392)
Long passes
46% (25/54)	33% (24/72)
Passes in final third
69% (94/137)	44% (28/63)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.49
Throw-ins
25	18
Fouls
17	13
Tackles
64% (7/11)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
52	58
Clearances
25	17
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.32	0.53
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Espinoza M. ⚽, Alcaraz A. (A),
16', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
20', Caballero H. 🟨,
44', Ortiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franco I. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
46', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
46', Rojas R. ↓, Espinola A. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Redes R. ⚽, Dominguez J. (A),
63', Sanabria L. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
65', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
66', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
67', Lopez L. ↓, Alfonzo A. ↑,
68', Dominguez J. 🟥,
72', Abreu L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
72', Pratto L. 🟨,
76', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
78', Fernandez M. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
82', Caballero H. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
90', Pratto L. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
90+1', Gomez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Olimpia Asuncion
34.1%

Draw
31.2%

Libertad Asuncion
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.77)	2.96 ↓ (3.16)	2.68 ↑ (2.5)	8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?

Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?

Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:

15.03.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1

22.01.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1

20.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 0:1

11.08.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 4:0

05.06.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 1:3

Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion

18.05.2025 2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion 0:0 ✺

14.05.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 0:3 ✺

08.05.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Asuncion

17.05.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 1:1 ✺

14.05.2025 São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 1:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Libertad Asuncion 0:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 0:0 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Libertad Asuncion	22	12	8	2	35:15	20	44
2	Cerro Porteno	22	11	6	5	33:18	15	39
3	Guarani	22	12	2	8	27:24	3	38
4	Sportivo Trinidense	22	8	10	4	27:22	5	34
5	Olimpia Asuncion	22	8	9	5	27:22	5	33
6	Ameliano	22	7	8	7	23:20	3	29
7	Recoleta	22	6	9	7	29:31	-2	27
8	Nacional Asuncion	22	7	4	11	23:28	-5	25
9	General Caballero JLM	22	5	7	10	19:26	-7	22
10	Sp. Luqueno	22	4	10	8	13:25	-12	22
11	2 de Mayo	22	2	12	8	15:26	-11	18
12	Atl. Tembetary	22	3	9	10	17:31	-14	18

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz