Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion
Result
0:0
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.14
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
77% (298/389)71% (197/276)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.92
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
77% (298/389)71% (197/276)
Long passes
43% (30/69)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
56% (60/107)61% (65/107)
Crosses
33% (9/27)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.83
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1515
Tackles
75% (6/8)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6152
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.920.40
Goals prevented
0.920.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Ortiz R. 🟨,
  • 22', Morales L. 🟨,
  • 42', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bogarin J. , Villalba R. ,
  • 50', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
  • 58', Gonzalez D. , Abreu L. ,
  • 59', Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Redes R. ,
  • 63', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 63', Recalde J. , Martinez H. ,
  • 66', Villalba R. 🟨,
  • 69', Ortiz R. , Leguizamon I. ,
  • 78', Cardozo Lucena A. , Franco I. ,
  • 78', Fernandez M. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 80', Quintana H. , Franco Zayas A. F. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
46%
Draw
28.9%
Libertad Asuncion
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 31% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.53)
    3.21
    (3.18)
    3.67
    (2.74)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Olimpia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Libertad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Olimpia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    15.03.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    22.01.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    20.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 0:1
    11.08.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 4:0
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1391331:121928
    2Cerro Porteno1374223:16725
    3Nacional Asuncion1364316:11522
    4Sportivo Trinidense1363419:17221
    52 de Mayo1354415:17-219
    6Recoleta1353520:19118
    7General Caballero JLM1353514:18-418
    8Libertad Asuncion1345415:11417
    9Sp. Luqueno1352618:21-317
    10Olimpia Asuncion1334617:24-713
    11Ameliano1332813:23-1011
    12Atl. Tembetary1313914:26-126

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