Rubio Ñu vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
  • Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.600.77
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
85
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Passes
78% (275/354)84% (389/464)
Expected goals (xG)
2.600.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.26
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
127
Passes
78% (275/354)84% (389/464)
Long passes
38% (25/65)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
67% (64/96)75% (109/146)
Crosses
24% (5/21)7% (2/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.61
Throw ins
1518
Fouls
712
Tackles
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Duels won
6553
Clearances
3727
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
0.262.32
Goals prevented
0.26-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Montiel L. , Martinez F. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Perez E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 38', 3 - 0, Gimenez C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Carrizo F. , Villalba R. ,
  • 46', Fretes A. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 46', Sanabria L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 46', Rojas R. , Franco I. ,
  • 59', Montiel L. , Villagra C. ,
  • 62', Campuzano A. , Caballero H. ,
  • 63', Rojas R. , Mendieta W. ,
  • 69', Recalde J. , Rojas M. ,
  • 74', Perez E. , Manzur G. ,
  • 74', Ferreira R. , Ayala P. ,
  • 81', Cardozo Lucena A. , Alfonso O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rubio Ñu
21.3%
Draw
27.6%
Libertad Asuncion
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 27.2% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 23.8% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (4.73)
    3.38
    (3.43)
    1.8
    (1.76)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Rubio Ñu (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.
    • Rubio Ñu is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Libertad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu 0:1
    Latest results of Rubio Ñu
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion17123228:121639
    2Cerro Porteno17104326:141234
    3Ameliano1878322:15729
    4Nacional Asuncion1878325:19629
    5Sportivo Trinidense1868423:18526
    6Guarani1867525:20525
    7Libertad Asuncion1873825:22324
    8Recoleta1864827:24322
    9Rubio Nu1863914:21-721
    10Sp. Luqueno18531021:28-718
    112 de Mayo1836914:33-1915
    12San Lorenzo18151212:36-248

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