Result
3:0
21/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/354) | 84% (389/464) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/354) | 84% (389/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 75% (109/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 7% (2/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Montiel L. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Perez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 3 - 0, Gimenez C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Carrizo F. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 46', Fretes A. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 46', Sanabria L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 59', Montiel L. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
- 62', Campuzano A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 63', Rojas R. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 69', Recalde J. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 74', Perez E. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira R. ↓, Ayala P. ↑,
- 81', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubio Ñu 21.3% | Draw 27.6% | Libertad Asuncion 51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.38 ↓ (4.73) |
3.38 ↓ (3.43) |
1.8 ↑ (1.76) |
7.9% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Rubio Ñu (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.
- Rubio Ñu is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Libertad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Libertad Asuncion?
Rubio Ñu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Rubio Ñu?
Libertad Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
20.02.2026
Libertad Asuncion
-
Rubio Ñu
0:1
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )