Result
2:4
21/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 21
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/367) | 65% (158/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 4.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/367) | 65% (158/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/136) | 46% (34/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Ferreira S. ⚽, Cardozo F. (A),
- 39', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Comas L. ⚽, Gonzalez W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Capasso M. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 46', Quintana H. ↓, Gamarra J. ↑,
- 47', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 52', Abreu L. 🟥,
- 53', Gamarra J. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 58', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 59', Ferreira S. (Pen),
- 59', 2 - 2, Ferreira S. ⚽,
- 65', Rodriguez W. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 65', Monzon L. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Alcaraz A. ⚽, Morales L. (A),
- 76', 2 - 4, Alcaraz A. ⚽, Ferreira S. (A),
- 78', Cantero A. 🟨,
- 82', Gonzalez W. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
- 82', Pereira K. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 85', Ferreira S. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
- 86', Diaz S. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 90', Alcaraz A. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
22% | Draw
24.7% | Olimpia Asuncion
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↓
(4.39) |
3.78 ↓
(3.84) |
1.75 ↑
(1.72) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 0.
- Sportivo Luqueño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Olimpia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
30.08.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
19.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:1
09.02.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
28.11.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
15.09.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:3
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
