Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Bernardez C. ⚽,
- 38', Queiroz F. 🟨,
- 41', Mulet A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 0, Banegas A. ⚽,
- 48', 2 - 1, Chirinos M. ⚽,
- 50', 2 - 2, Benguche J. ⚽,
- 55', Silva F. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
- 56', Maldonado A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 56', Moncada D. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
- 63', Chirinos M. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 70', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 72', Martinez W. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 3, Pinto J. ⚽,
- 77', 🟨,
- 80', Mulet A. ↓, Rivas E. ↑,
- 81', Portillo A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
- 81', Banegas A. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 81', Bernardez C. ↓, Granja S. ↑,
- 88', Espinal M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
11.5% | Draw
20.2% | Olimpia Tegucigalpa
68.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.8 ↓
(8.5) |
4.58 ↑
(4.5) |
1.36 ↑
(1.3) |
8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 0.
- Victoria La Ceiba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Olimpia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:46. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
17.05.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
14.05.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:2
11.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
1:1
12.02.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:1
19.10.2024
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
4:3
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
