Olimpia Tegucigalpa vs Victoria La Ceiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
116
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
110
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Arboleda Y. ,
  • 36', Guity K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Silva F. , Guevara S. ,
  • 48', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 49', Espinal M. 🟨,
  • 59', Sanchez E. , Kelly K. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Benguche J. ,
  • 66', Hernandez A. , Franco L. ,
  • 66', Delgadillo D. , Bernardez C. ,
  • 68', Pinto J. , Solano E. ,
  • 69', Elis A. , Chirinos M. ,
  • 69', Benguche J. , Moncada D. ,
  • 74', Alvarez J. , Montiel M. ,
  • 74', Arboleda Y. , Bengtson J. ,
  • 74', Espinal M. , Calix C. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Tegucigalpa
69%
Draw
21.1%
Victoria La Ceiba
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 23.4% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 22.7% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Tegucigalpa's performance.
  • Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Tegucigalpa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.5)
    4.4
    (3.95)
    9.35
    (6.25)
    7.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
    • Olimpia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Victoria La Ceiba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Victoria La Ceiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Olimpia is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:13. (average 2.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:6. (average 3.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 0:2
    11.04.2025 Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 1:1
    12.02.2025 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba 1:1
    19.10.2024 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba 4:3
    11.08.2024 Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 3:1
    Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia330011:299
    2Marathon320110:196
    3Platense32016:246
    4Real Espana32016:336
    5Olancho31115:504
    6UPNFM31114:5-14
    7Juticalpa31112:8-64
    8Genesis21013:303
    9Choloma20114:9-51
    10Motagua20021:4-30
    11Victoria30030:10-100

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