SC Lusitânia vs Oliveira Hospital – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
35
Total shots
513
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
37
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Barge G. ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Matheus Matias ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


SC Lusitânia
6.2%
Draw
15.5%
Oliveira Hospital
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.6% 22.3% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 21.8% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.
  • Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliveira Hospital's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveira Hospital, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.76
    (7.2)
    5.94
    (4.08)
    1.18
    (1.4)
    8.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).
    • SC Lusitânia is Relegated to
    • SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oliveira Hospital is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Oliveira Hospital may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Oliveira Hospital is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia 2:1
    04.05.2025 SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital 2:2
    16.02.2025 Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    22.01.2025 SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    29.09.2024 Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Latest results of Oliveira Hospital
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to