Oliveirense vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira
05/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Chances of winning


Oliveirense
40.4%
Draw
28.4%
Paços de Ferreira
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.2% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.4)
    3.25
    (3.34)
    2.94
    (2.85)
    8.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 0:1
    05.10.2024 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira 0:2
    10.07.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 1:0
    29.03.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 2:0
    11.11.2023 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira 0:0
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela742111:4714
    2Maritimo74218:4414
    3Chaves734010:5513
    4Sporting CP B64027:3412
    5Leiria63217:5211
    6Portimonense732211:12-111
    7SC Farense73137:9-210
    8Lusitania FC72328:9-19
    9Feirense62228:538
    10Torreense62228:628
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu713311:12-16
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

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