Oliveirense vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2322
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
2221

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Bruno Silva , Silva J. (A),
  • 6', Costinha 🟨,
  • 16', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 32', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 37', Diego Fernandes , Victor J. ,
  • 43', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 45', Rafael 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fernandinho , Gomes F. ,
  • 46', Cunha N. , Joao Caiado ,
  • 61', Cardoso G. 🟨,
  • 65', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Victor J. ,
  • 68', Cardoso G. , Ferreira T. ,
  • 70', Joao Adriano , Diallo A. ,
  • 71', Bura 🟨,
  • 74', Diallo A. 🟨,
  • 76', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Martelo P. ,
  • 81', Anilson 🟨,
  • 85', Martelo P. , Ondoa F. ,
  • 87', Costinha , Matheus Martins ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Joao Caiado ,
  • 90+7', Bruno Silva , Takahashi T. ,
  • 90+7', Pereira D. , Gustavao ,
  • 90+7', Silva J. , Dioh I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oliveirense
41.9%
Draw
28.8%
Paços de Ferreira
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.2% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.4)
    3.34
    (3.34)
    3.34
    (2.85)
    4.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 0:1
    05.10.2024 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira 0:2
    10.07.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 1:0
    29.03.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense 2:0
    11.11.2023 Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira 0:0
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP B860215:31218
    2Vizela843113:6715
    3Torreense842214:10414
    4Maritimo84228:5314
    5Chaves734010:5513
    6Leiria83328:8012
    7Felgueiras832310:11-111
    8Feirense832310:8211
    9Portimonense832312:16-411
    10SC Farense73137:9-210
    11Leixoes831410:14-410
    12Lusitania FC82338:13-59
    13Oliveirense81528:9-18
    14Penafiel82248:9-18
    15Pacos Ferreira81529:10-18
    16Academico Viseu713311:12-16
    17FC Porto B81256:15-95
    18Benfica B70438:12-44

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