Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Mota 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Silva J. 🟨,
- 64', da Silva Moreira I. A. 🟨,
- 66', Mota ↓, Dias L. ↑,
- 66', Lumungo R. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 67', Sabino 🟨,
- 69', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
- 77', Cunha N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 77', da Silva Moreira I. A. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 79', Sabino ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 79', Silva J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 86', Costa D. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 87', Victor J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gustavao 🟨,
- 90+8', Bura (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
38.7% | Draw
29.2% | Oliveirense
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.35) |
3.19 ↓
(3.23) |
2.91 ↓
(2.99) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense?
Users Predictions:
Paços de Ferreira will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3.
- Recent form of Paços de Ferreira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oliveirense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oliveirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Oliveirense?
Paços de Ferreira has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Paços de Ferreira?
Oliveirense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense were as follows:
05.10.2025
Oliveirense
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:2
03.03.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Oliveirense
0:1
05.10.2024
Oliveirense
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:2
10.07.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Oliveirense
1:0
29.03.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Oliveirense
2:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
