Ajaccio vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille
Result
1:0
03/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
cyprusCyprusNova Sports
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceNova Sports
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
11.5%
Draw
18.5%
Olympique Marseille
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.1% 19.3% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11% 21.2% 75.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.21
    (7.72)
    5.09
    (4.85)
    1.35
    (1.37)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Marseille will win (votes: 20 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 64.3%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (67.92%), project points - 24, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Marseille has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 75, currently - 73, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for ucl, not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 50, very small importance 0, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
    • Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Marseille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Marseille is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Belaili Y. (Injury) Cimignani Y. (Injury) Hamouma R. (Injury) Mayembo F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gigot S. (Knock) Harit A. (Knee Injury) Ounahi A. (Finger Injury) Payet D. (Suspended) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Olympique Marseille - Ajaccio 1:2
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    27.05.2023 Lens - Ajaccio 3:0
    21.05.2023 Ajaccio - Rennes 0:5
    07.05.2023 Ajaccio - Toulouse 0:0
    23.04.2023 Ajaccio - Brest 0:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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