Result
0:5
21/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
11.3% | Draw
20.6% | Rennes
68.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajaccio - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.36 ↑
(5.31) |
4.66 ↑
(3.81) |
1.4 ↓
(1.64) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). Rennes will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.4% – 82%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (54.15%), project points - 25, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Rennes has the most likely position - 6 (51.94%), project points - 64, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 54, very small importance 0, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Rennes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Rennes is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Rennes?
Ajaccio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Ajaccio?
Rennes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Rennes were as follows:
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz ✔ | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2
