Result
1:0
03/06/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 38
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Cyprus | Nova Sports |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
11.5% | Draw
18.5% | Olympique Marseille
70% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.21 ↑
(7.72) |
5.09 ↑
(4.85) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Marseille will win (votes: 20 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 64.3% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (67.92%), project points - 24, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Marseille has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 75, currently - 73, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for ucl, not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 50, very small importance 0, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
- Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Marseille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Marseille is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Belaili Y.
(Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Mayembo F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Gigot S.
(Knock)
Harit A.
(Knee Injury)
Ounahi A.
(Finger Injury)
Payet D.
(Suspended)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Olympique Marseille?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Ajaccio?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
08.10.2022
Olympique Marseille
-
Ajaccio
1:2
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
