Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
6:2
18/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.000.48
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
94% (640/684)76% (179/236)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.000.48
xG on target (xGOT)
3.331.65
Total shots
188
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
94% (640/684)76% (179/236)
Long passes
76% (26/34)27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
90% (192/214)42% (18/43)
Crosses
13% (2/15)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.600.11
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
1713
Tackles
40% (4/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.653.33
Goals prevented
-0.35-2.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Kechta Y. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
  • 34', Lloris G. 🟥,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 38', Samatta A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
  • 45+4', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 65', Doucoure F. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 65', Ndiaye R. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
  • 65', Emerson ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
  • 65', Gomes A. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 66', O'Riley M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
  • 71', Paixao I. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Vaz R. (A),
  • 76', 4 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Pavard B. (A),
  • 78', Nadir B. 🟨,
  • 80', Greenwood M. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 84', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
  • 84', Seko A. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
  • 88', 5 - 1, Vaz R. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 90', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 5 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Namli Y. (A),
  • 90+3', 6 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
72.4%		Draw
17.8%		Le Havre
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.7% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 17.6% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↑
    (1.32)    		 5.42 ↑
    (5.37)    		 9.79 ↑
    (9.37)    		 3.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 53 - 86.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 78.4% – 95.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Marseille (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Marseille (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Marseille (5.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Marseille is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Upper-Body Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Vaz R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Marseille will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Le Havre were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    05.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 5:1
    19.05.2024 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    08.10.2023 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 3:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3 ✺
    30.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    26.09.2025 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:2 ✺
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺
    16.09.2025 Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    05.10.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 2:2 ✺
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG23173352:193354
    2Lens23171544:202452
    3Lyon23143637:231445
    4Marseille23124748:311740
    5Lille23114836:31537
    6Rennes23107637:35237
    7Strasbourg23104939:30934
    8Monaco23104938:36234
    9Lorient2388732:36-432
    10Toulouse2387833:27631
    11Brest2386931:34-330
    12Angers23851022:28-629
    13Le Havre2368920:29-926
    14Nice23661130:43-1324
    15Paris FC23581027:40-1323
    16Auxerre23451417:33-1617
    17Nantes23451422:40-1817
    18Metz23341622:52-3013

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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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