Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille
Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 5, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
79% (292/369)87% (385/445)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.55
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
715
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1533
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (292/369)87% (385/445)
Long passes
40% (25/62)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
55% (38/69)76% (91/119)
Crosses
42% (5/12)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.48
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1212
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.551.19
Goals prevented
-0.450.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 48', Nego L. 🟨,
  • 52', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
  • 62', Rowe J. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
  • 63', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Casimir J. (A),
  • 75', Garcia U. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
  • 82', Ayew A. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
  • 87', Greenwood M. 🟨,
  • 89', Greenwood M. ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
  • 90+1', Nego L. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kechta Y. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
  • 90+8', Pembele T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 1 - 3, Gouiri A. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
14.9%		Draw
20.6%		Olympique Marseille
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.4% 21.5% 61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 21% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Le Havre - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.45 ↑
    (5.47)    		 4.59 ↑
    (4.42)    		 1.48 ↓
    (1.56)    		 4.9%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 32 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 72.6% – 95.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Marseille (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marseille is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Marseille is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Koka (Hamstring Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Bennacer I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 5:1
    19.05.2024 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    08.10.2023 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 3:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    04.05.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 1:2 ✺
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5 ✺
    06.04.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    04.05.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 4:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Montpellier 5:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy