Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 33
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 5, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (292/369) | 87% (385/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (292/369) | 87% (385/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (38/69) | 76% (91/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', Nego L. 🟨,
- 52', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
- 62', Rowe J. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
- 63', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Casimir J. (A),
- 75', Garcia U. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 82', Ayew A. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
- 87', Greenwood M. 🟨,
- 89', Greenwood M. ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 90+1', Nego L. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kechta Y. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 90+8', Pembele T. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 3, Gouiri A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
14.9% | Draw
20.6% | Olympique Marseille
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-2%)
Le Havre - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.45 ↑
(5.47) |
4.59 ↑
(4.42) |
1.48 ↓
(1.56) |
4.9%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 32 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 72.6% – 95.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH +1 - Marseille (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marseille is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Marseille is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Koka
(Hamstring Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Bennacer I.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Olympique Marseille?
Le Havre has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Le Havre?
Olympique Marseille has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
05.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Le Havre
5:1
19.05.2024
Le Havre
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
08.10.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Le Havre
3:0
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
