Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
18/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.000.48
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
94% (640/684)76% (179/236)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.000.48
xG on target (xGOT)
3.331.65
Total shots
188
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
94% (640/684)76% (179/236)
Long passes
76% (26/34)27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
90% (192/214)42% (18/43)
Crosses
13% (2/15)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.600.11
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
1713
Tackles
40% (4/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.653.33
Goals prevented
-0.35-2.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Kechta Y. , Soumare I. (A),
  • 34', Lloris G. 🟥,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 38', Samatta A. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 45+4', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 65', Doucoure F. , Toure A. ,
  • 65', Ndiaye R. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 65', Emerson , Murillo M. ,
  • 65', Gomes A. , Vaz R. ,
  • 66', O'Riley M. , Nadir B. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Greenwood M. , Paixao I. (A),
  • 71', Paixao I. , Weah T. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Greenwood M. , Vaz R. (A),
  • 76', 4 - 1, Greenwood M. , Pavard B. (A),
  • 78', Nadir B. 🟨,
  • 80', Greenwood M. , Bakola D. ,
  • 84', Kechta Y. , Kyeremeh G. ,
  • 84', Seko A. , Namli Y. ,
  • 88', 5 - 1, Vaz R. , Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 90', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 5 - 2, Toure A. , Namli Y. (A),
  • 90+3', 6 - 2, Murillo M. , Nadir B. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
72.4%
Draw
17.8%
Le Havre
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.7% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 17.6% 10.1%

Olympique Marseille - Le Havre Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.32)
5.42
(5.37)
9.79
(9.37)
3.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 53 - 86.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 78.4%95.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Marseille is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Upper-Body Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Vaz R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Marseille will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Le Havre were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    05.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 5:1
    19.05.2024 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    08.10.2023 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 3:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Le Havre
    05.10.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 2:2
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Angers1664617:18-122
    10Toulouse1555521:19220
    11Brest1554620:24-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2