Olympique Marseille vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Lyon
Result
3:2
02/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Olympique Marseille - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.241.75
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
2010
Shots on Goal
114
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
28
Free Kicks
1013
Offsides
02
Fouls
1310
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
1113
Touches in the Opposition Box
4812
Passes
91% (517/568)81% (265/329)
Passes in the final third
81% (130/161)71% (48/68)
Crosses
18% (5/28)13% (1/8)
Tackles
47% (8/17)36% (4/11)
Clearances Total
1630
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. , Cherki R. (A),
  • 58', Nadir B. , Gouiri A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. , Gouiri A. (A),
  • 61', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Rabiot A. , Hojbjerg P. (A),
  • 68', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 80', Lacazette A. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 80', Merlin Q. , Lirola P. ,
  • 82', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Luis Henrique , Lirola P. (A),
  • 86', Veretout J. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 86', Matic N. , Almada T. ,
  • 90', Greenwood M. , Garcia U. ,
  • 90+2', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cornelius D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ytrny9y9

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
46.6%
Draw
25.9%
Lyon
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 24.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.99)
    3.69
    (3.93)
    3.48
    (3.43)
    4.3%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 36 - 63.2%). Lyon will win (votes: 5 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 28.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 50.7%75.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Marseille will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Harit A. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lyon were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    04.02.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:0
    23.04.2023 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    06.11.2022 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Lyon
    30.01.2025 Lyon - Ludogorets Razgrad 1:1
    26.01.2025 Nantes - Lyon 1:1
    23.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Lyon 0:0
    18.01.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 0:0
    15.01.2025 Bourgoin-Jallieu - Lyon 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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