Olympique Marseille vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.001.20
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
76
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
81
Passes
82% (375/456)82% (356/435)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.001.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.72
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3916
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
04
Free kicks
816
Passes
82% (375/456)82% (356/435)
Long passes
48% (25/52)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
72% (98/137)59% (56/95)
Crosses
38% (8/21)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.79
Throw ins
1814
Fouls
168
Tackles
72% (13/18)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4257
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.722.17
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Endrick (A),
  • 30', Mata C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Morton T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Timber Q. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
  • 60', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
  • 63', Traore H. J. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
  • 74', Kondogbia G. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Himbert R. ⚽, Endrick (A),
  • 81', 2 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
  • 83', Aguerd N. 🟨,
  • 84', Weah T. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
  • 85', Kondogbia G. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
  • 88', Tagliafico N. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Nwaneri E. (A),
  • 90+4', Greenwood M. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
  • 90+8', Abdelli H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
48.7%		Draw
25.8%		Lyon
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25.8% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 27.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.68 ↑
    (3.66)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.66)    		 4.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 29 - 64.4%). Lyon will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 50.4% – 78.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lyon (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Marseille (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Lyon (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Marseille (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 13 - 65%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
    • Marseille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marseille is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Inactive) Mangala O. (Injury) Moreira A. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lyon were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    02.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2
    22.09.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    04.02.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    20.02.2026 Brest - Olympique Marseille 2:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 2:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 5:0 ✺
    03.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 3:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Paris FC - Olympique Marseille 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Lyon - Nice 2:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Nantes - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Lyon - Lille 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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