Lyon vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, Discovery+, Ligue 1 Pass, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.77
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (372/432)79% (252/320)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.45
Total shots
175
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
86% (372/432)79% (252/320)
Long passes
59% (26/44)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
83% (128/155)57% (41/72)
Crosses
25% (8/32)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.37
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1611
Tackles
71% (5/7)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.450.55
Goals prevented
0.450.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
  • 29', Egan-Riley C. 🟥,
  • 34', Nadir B. , Cornelius D. ,
  • 41', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Greenwood M. , Garcia U. ,
  • 53', Fofana M. , Tagliafico N. ,
  • 71', Merah K. , Sulc P. ,
  • 71', Abner Vinicius , Moreira A. ,
  • 73', Weah T. , Lirola P. ,
  • 81', Sulc P. 🟨,
  • 85', Traore H. J. , Bakola D. ,
  • 85', Aubameyang P. , Vaz R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Balerdi L. (Own goal),
  • 90+2', Karabec A. , Kluivert R. ,
  • 90+4', Murillo M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lyon
33.9%
Draw
26.7%
Olympique Marseille
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 25.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 25.8% 37.1%

Lyon - Olympique Marseille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.81
(2.5)
3.6
(3.6)
2.42
(2.5)
4.7%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Olympique Marseille?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Marseille (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Marseille (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Marseille (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Lyon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Inactive) Medina F. (Injury) Paixao I. (Muscle Injury) Rabiot A. (Coach's decision)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2
    22.09.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    04.02.2024 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:0
    23.04.2023 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    09.08.2025 Lyon - Getafe 2:1
    02.08.2025 Bayern Munich - Lyon 2:1
    30.07.2025 Mallorca - Lyon 0:4
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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