Result
3:2
02/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | K-Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | V Sport+ |
 France | beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 48 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (517/568) | 81% (265/329) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (130/161) | 71% (48/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 13% (1/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
- 58', Nadir B. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Gouiri A. (A),
- 61', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Rabiot A. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
- 68', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 2, Lacazette A. (Pen),
- 80', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 80', Merlin Q. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
- 82', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 2, Luis Henrique ⚽, Lirola P. (A),
- 86', Veretout J. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
- 86', Matic N. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 90', Greenwood M. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
- 90+2', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cornelius D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ytrny9y9
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
46.6% | Draw
25.9% | Lyon
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Olympique Marseille - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.99) |
3.69 ↓
(3.93) |
3.48 ↑
(3.43) |
4.3%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 36 - 63.2%). Lyon will win (votes: 5 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 50.7% – 75.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Marseille will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Moumbagna F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Harit A.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lyon?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Olympique Marseille?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lyon were as follows:
22.09.2024
Lyon
-
Olympique Marseille
2:3
04.02.2024
Lyon
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
06.12.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lyon
3:0
23.04.2023
Lyon
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
06.11.2022
Olympique Marseille
-
Lyon
1:0
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
