Result
1:3 ET
16/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | Fuji TV One |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
- 63', Abe R. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 63', Nakano K. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
- 65', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 65', Tomiyama T. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
- 68', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
- 68', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 68', Everton Galdino ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 77', Kimura S. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 77', Wada T. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Sugimoto K. ⚽,
- 90+2', Koizumi K. ↓, Ko T. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 2)
- 98', 1 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
- 105+1', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
- 106', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 110', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
- 112', Nakayama K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
- 113', Kitahara M. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
- 119', Hatano G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Omiya Ardija
26.7% | Draw
28.6% | Tokyo
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(2.83) |
3.27 ↑
(3.17) |
2.12 ↓
(2.5) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tokyo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 1.
- Omiya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tokyo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Omiya won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Omiya Ardija won against Tokyo?
Omiya Ardija has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Omiya Ardija?
Tokyo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Omiya Ardija - Tokyo were as follows:
Latest results of Omiya Ardija
Draw
First stage1/64-finals| 1 | Vanraure | Albirex Niigata | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Yamaga | Sagan Tosu | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Nagano | Verdy | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ehime | Blaublitz | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tochigi City | Kashima Antlers | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Fukushima Utd | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 6 : 3 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | Shonan Bellmare | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1 : 4 |
| 11 | Nara Club | FC Tokyo | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Omiya Ardija | Iwaki | 4 : 3 |
| 13 | Sagamihara | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 : 3 |
| 14 | Osaka | Iwata | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Kochi United | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Mito | Kumamoto | 1 : 0 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | Kyoto | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Kagoshima Utd | Montedio Yamagata | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | Cerezo Osaka | 1 : 5 |
| 20 | Imabari | Tokushima | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Gifu | Yokohama FC | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Okayama | 1 : 0 |
| 23 | Kofu | Fujieda MYFC | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Machida | |
| 25 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Nagoya Grampus | 0 : 3 |
| 26 | Toyama | Chiba | 4 : 2 |
| 27 | Ryukyu | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Tochigi SC | Vegalta Sendai | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Albirex Niigata | Yamaga | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Verdy | Blaublitz | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | Fukushima Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Shonan Bellmare | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | Omiya Ardija | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Iwata | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Gamba Osaka | Mito | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Kyoto | Montedio Yamagata | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | Imabari | 4 : 3 |
| 11 | Yokohama FC | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Kofu | Machida | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | Toyama | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | Tochigi SC | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Albirex Niigata | Verdy | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Renofa Yamaguchi | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | FC Tokyo | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Iwata | Gamba Osaka | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kyoto | Cerezo Osaka | 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | Machida | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Toyama | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Verdy | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | Iwata | 0 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cerezo Osaka | Yokohama FC | 0 : 4, 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Avispa Fukuoka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
